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Will TTMI achieve FY2026 non-GAAP EPS above $3.50?

Resolves February 28, 2027(325d)
IG: 0.80

Current Prediction

52%
Likely Yes
Model Agreement96%
Predictions9 runs
Last UpdatedApril 8, 2026

Why This Question Matters

TTMI reported $2.46 non-GAAP EPS in FY2025 and management targets ~$5.00 by FY2027. Achieving $3.50+ in FY2026 would put the company on track for the doubling target and validate the execution trajectory. Missing would suggest the 249% stock appreciation has front-loaded expectations beyond what fundamentals support.

NARRATIVE_REALITY_GAPEXPECTATIONS_PRICED

Prediction Distribution

0%25%50%75%100%
opus
sonnet
haiku
Range: 48%62%Aggregate: 52%
Individual Predictions(9 runs)
opusRun 1
58%

See prediction-context.md. Probability 0.58 based on analysis facts.

Key factor 1 for ttmi-fy2026-eps-above-3-50Key factor 2 for ttmi-fy2026-eps-above-3-50Key factor 3 for ttmi-fy2026-eps-above-3-50
opusRun 2
62%

See prediction-context.md. Probability 0.62 based on analysis facts.

Key factor 1 for ttmi-fy2026-eps-above-3-50Key factor 2 for ttmi-fy2026-eps-above-3-50Key factor 3 for ttmi-fy2026-eps-above-3-50
opusRun 3
55%

See prediction-context.md. Probability 0.55 based on analysis facts.

Key factor 1 for ttmi-fy2026-eps-above-3-50Key factor 2 for ttmi-fy2026-eps-above-3-50Key factor 3 for ttmi-fy2026-eps-above-3-50
sonnetRun 1
52%

See prediction-context.md. Probability 0.52 based on analysis facts.

Key factor 1 for ttmi-fy2026-eps-above-3-50Key factor 2 for ttmi-fy2026-eps-above-3-50Key factor 3 for ttmi-fy2026-eps-above-3-50
sonnetRun 2
55%

See prediction-context.md. Probability 0.55 based on analysis facts.

Key factor 1 for ttmi-fy2026-eps-above-3-50Key factor 2 for ttmi-fy2026-eps-above-3-50Key factor 3 for ttmi-fy2026-eps-above-3-50
sonnetRun 3
50%

See prediction-context.md. Probability 0.5 based on analysis facts.

Key factor 1 for ttmi-fy2026-eps-above-3-50Key factor 2 for ttmi-fy2026-eps-above-3-50Key factor 3 for ttmi-fy2026-eps-above-3-50
haikuRun 1
50%

See prediction-context.md. Probability 0.5 based on analysis facts.

Key factor 1 for ttmi-fy2026-eps-above-3-50Key factor 2 for ttmi-fy2026-eps-above-3-50Key factor 3 for ttmi-fy2026-eps-above-3-50
haikuRun 2
52%

See prediction-context.md. Probability 0.52 based on analysis facts.

Key factor 1 for ttmi-fy2026-eps-above-3-50Key factor 2 for ttmi-fy2026-eps-above-3-50Key factor 3 for ttmi-fy2026-eps-above-3-50
haikuRun 3
48%

See prediction-context.md. Probability 0.48 based on analysis facts.

Key factor 1 for ttmi-fy2026-eps-above-3-50Key factor 2 for ttmi-fy2026-eps-above-3-50Key factor 3 for ttmi-fy2026-eps-above-3-50

Resolution Criteria

Resolves YES if TTMI reports FY2026 non-GAAP diluted EPS above $3.50. Resolves NO if $3.50 or below.

Resolution Source

TTMI FY2026 10-K or Q4 earnings release

Source Trigger

FY2025 $2.46 non-GAAP EPS, management targets ~$5.00 by FY2027. 249% stock appreciation creates execution expectations.

myth-meterNARRATIVE_REALITY_GAPHIGH
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