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Will TTMI report Q2 FY2026 revenue above $650 million?

Resolves August 15, 2026(128d)
IG: 0.48

Current Prediction

55%
Likely Yes
Model Agreement95%
Predictions9 runs
Last UpdatedApril 8, 2026

Why This Question Matters

TTMI has beaten high-end guidance every quarter. Q2 2026 revenue above $650M would confirm the growth trajectory remains intact and support the EPS doubling path. A miss would be the first guidance failure and could trigger significant repricing given the UNDERPRICED expectations assessment.

NARRATIVE_REALITY_GAPREVENUE_DURABILITY

Prediction Distribution

0%25%50%75%100%
opus
sonnet
haiku
Range: 50%65%Aggregate: 55%
Individual Predictions(9 runs)
opusRun 1
60%

See prediction-context.md. Probability 0.6 based on analysis facts.

Key factor 1 for ttmi-q2-2026-revenue-above-650mKey factor 2 for ttmi-q2-2026-revenue-above-650mKey factor 3 for ttmi-q2-2026-revenue-above-650m
opusRun 2
65%

See prediction-context.md. Probability 0.65 based on analysis facts.

Key factor 1 for ttmi-q2-2026-revenue-above-650mKey factor 2 for ttmi-q2-2026-revenue-above-650mKey factor 3 for ttmi-q2-2026-revenue-above-650m
opusRun 3
58%

See prediction-context.md. Probability 0.58 based on analysis facts.

Key factor 1 for ttmi-q2-2026-revenue-above-650mKey factor 2 for ttmi-q2-2026-revenue-above-650mKey factor 3 for ttmi-q2-2026-revenue-above-650m
sonnetRun 1
55%

See prediction-context.md. Probability 0.55 based on analysis facts.

Key factor 1 for ttmi-q2-2026-revenue-above-650mKey factor 2 for ttmi-q2-2026-revenue-above-650mKey factor 3 for ttmi-q2-2026-revenue-above-650m
sonnetRun 2
60%

See prediction-context.md. Probability 0.6 based on analysis facts.

Key factor 1 for ttmi-q2-2026-revenue-above-650mKey factor 2 for ttmi-q2-2026-revenue-above-650mKey factor 3 for ttmi-q2-2026-revenue-above-650m
sonnetRun 3
52%

See prediction-context.md. Probability 0.52 based on analysis facts.

Key factor 1 for ttmi-q2-2026-revenue-above-650mKey factor 2 for ttmi-q2-2026-revenue-above-650mKey factor 3 for ttmi-q2-2026-revenue-above-650m
haikuRun 1
52%

See prediction-context.md. Probability 0.52 based on analysis facts.

Key factor 1 for ttmi-q2-2026-revenue-above-650mKey factor 2 for ttmi-q2-2026-revenue-above-650mKey factor 3 for ttmi-q2-2026-revenue-above-650m
haikuRun 2
55%

See prediction-context.md. Probability 0.55 based on analysis facts.

Key factor 1 for ttmi-q2-2026-revenue-above-650mKey factor 2 for ttmi-q2-2026-revenue-above-650mKey factor 3 for ttmi-q2-2026-revenue-above-650m
haikuRun 3
50%

See prediction-context.md. Probability 0.5 based on analysis facts.

Key factor 1 for ttmi-q2-2026-revenue-above-650mKey factor 2 for ttmi-q2-2026-revenue-above-650mKey factor 3 for ttmi-q2-2026-revenue-above-650m

Resolution Criteria

Resolves YES if TTMI reports Q2 FY2026 total revenue above $650 million. Resolves NO if $650 million or below.

Resolution Source

TTMI Q2 FY2026 earnings release

Source Trigger

TTMI has beaten high-end guidance every quarter. Single miss could trigger significant repricing given UNDERPRICED assessment.

myth-meterNARRATIVE_REALITY_GAPMEDIUM
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