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ALK Forecast Markets
Alaska Air Group
7
Active Markets
46%
Avg Probability
All Markets
7 markets
Will ALK report FY2026 adjusted EPS above $5.00 (guidance midpoint)?
38%
Likely No
94% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 1.00
Will ALK report Q1 2026 adjusted EPS above the high end of guidance (-$0.50)?
43%
Likely No
94% agreement
May 15, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will ALK complete the PSS cutover by end of Q2 2026 without a major operational disruption?
58%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will ALK report positive unit economics on its European routes within the first full quarter of operation?
37%
Likely No
94% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will ALK's Net Debt/EBITDA fall below 2.5x by year-end 2026?
40%
Likely No
94% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will ALK's premium cabin revenue share exceed 38% of total passenger revenue by H2 2026?
50%
Likely No
94% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will ALK's loyalty program bank cash remuneration exceed $2.3B in FY2026?
58%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.36
Resolution Timeline
May 15, 2026
Will ALK report Q1 2026 adjusted EPS above the high end of guidance (-$0.50)?Prediction: 43%
Aug 15, 2026
Will ALK complete the PSS cutover by end of Q2 2026 without a major operational disruption?Prediction: 58%
Feb 28, 2027
Will ALK report positive unit economics on its European routes within the first full quarter of operation?Prediction: 37%
Feb 28, 2027
Will ALK's premium cabin revenue share exceed 38% of total passenger revenue by H2 2026?Prediction: 50%
Feb 28, 2027
Will ALK's loyalty program bank cash remuneration exceed $2.3B in FY2026?Prediction: 58%