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BE Forecast Markets

Bloom Energy Corporation

8
Active Markets
4
Resolved
54%
Avg Probability
Price Above Value
Apr 28, 2026

Our prediction ensemble identifies elevated risk at current levels.

7 markets analyzedConfidence: MEDIUM
Read Full Thesis

All Markets

12 markets

Will Bloom Energy's H1 2026 non-related-party product revenue grow at least 30% year-over-year?

Active
52%
Likely Yes
95% agreement
Aug 31, 2026
IG: 1.00

Will Bloom Energy's Q2 2026 non-GAAP operating margin exceed 15%?

Active
58%
Likely Yes
93% agreement
Aug 31, 2026
IG: 0.95

Will Bloom Energy's Q2 2026 related-party revenue fall below 40% of total revenue?

Active
40%
Likely No
94% agreement
Aug 31, 2026
IG: 0.95

Will Bloom Energy announce a new named hyperscaler customer (beyond Oracle) by October 31, 2026?

Active
45%
Likely No
92% agreement
Oct 31, 2026
IG: 0.79

Will Bloom Energy achieve FY2026 revenue at or above $3.1B (low end of guidance)?

Active
65%
Likely Yes
78% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.60

Will Bloom Energy's Q2 2026 service segment non-GAAP gross margin reach or exceed 20%?

Active
42%
Likely No
95% agreement
Aug 31, 2026
IG: 0.60

Will combined capex guidance from Amazon, Google, Microsoft, and Meta remain above $200B for FY2026?

Active
80%
Likely Yes
88% agreement
Oct 31, 2026
IG: 0.48

Will Bloom Energy insider net selling exceed $50M in aggregate through Q2 2026?

Active
52%
Likely Yes
65% agreement
Jul 31, 2026
IG: 0.48

Will Bloom Energy's Q1 2026 non-GAAP operating margin exceed 10%?

Resolved
47%
Likely No
Actual: YES
Brier: 0.281
Apr 29, 2026
IG: 0.80

Will Bloom Energy's related-party revenue remain below 30% of total revenue through Q2 2026?

Resolved
60%
Likely Yes
Actual: NO
Brier: 0.360
Apr 29, 2026
IG: 0.64

Will Bloom Energy sustain service gross margin at or above 20% through H1 2026?

Resolved
52%
Likely Yes
Actual: NO
Brier: 0.270
Apr 29, 2026
IG: 0.48

Will Bloom Energy appoint a permanent CFO by September 30, 2026?

Resolved
58%
Likely Yes
Actual: YES
Brier: 0.176
Apr 29, 2026
IG: 0.36

Resolution Timeline

Jul 31, 2026
Will Bloom Energy insider net selling exceed $50M in aggregate through Q2 2026?
Prediction: 52%
Aug 15, 2026RESOLVED
Will Bloom Energy's Q1 2026 non-GAAP operating margin exceed 10%?
YESBrier: 0.28
Aug 31, 2026
Will Bloom Energy's H1 2026 non-related-party product revenue grow at least 30% year-over-year?
Prediction: 52%
Aug 31, 2026
Will Bloom Energy's Q2 2026 non-GAAP operating margin exceed 15%?
Prediction: 58%
Aug 31, 2026
Will Bloom Energy's Q2 2026 related-party revenue fall below 40% of total revenue?
Prediction: 40%
Aug 31, 2026
Will Bloom Energy's Q2 2026 service segment non-GAAP gross margin reach or exceed 20%?
Prediction: 42%
Oct 15, 2026RESOLVED
Will Bloom Energy appoint a permanent CFO by September 30, 2026?
YESBrier: 0.18
Oct 31, 2026
Will Bloom Energy announce a new named hyperscaler customer (beyond Oracle) by October 31, 2026?
Prediction: 45%
Oct 31, 2026
Will combined capex guidance from Amazon, Google, Microsoft, and Meta remain above $200B for FY2026?
Prediction: 80%
Nov 15, 2026RESOLVED
Will Bloom Energy's related-party revenue remain below 30% of total revenue through Q2 2026?
NOBrier: 0.36
Nov 15, 2026RESOLVED
Will Bloom Energy sustain service gross margin at or above 20% through H1 2026?
NOBrier: 0.27
Mar 15, 2027
Will Bloom Energy achieve FY2026 revenue at or above $3.1B (low end of guidance)?
Prediction: 65%