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DOW Forecast Markets
Dow Inc.
8
Active Markets
27%
Avg Probability
All Markets
8 markets
Will DOW report Q1 2026 operating EBITDA of at least $1.0B?
20%
Likely No
95% agreement
May 1, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will DOW announce a second dividend cut before March 31, 2027?
30%
Likely No
95% agreement
Mar 31, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will DOW disclose a Transform to Outperform run-rate exceeding $1.0B cost savings by Q2 2026 earnings?
55%
Likely Yes
92% agreement
Aug 1, 2026
IG: 0.60
Will S&P Global Ratings downgrade DOW to BBB- (or lower) by December 31, 2026?
25%
Likely No
95% agreement
Dec 31, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will DOW disclose a Sadara JV impairment charge before December 31, 2026?
25%
Likely No
92% agreement
Dec 31, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will DOW stock close above $50.00 on any trading day before December 31, 2026?
30%
Likely No
95% agreement
Dec 31, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will an activist investor disclose a material stake in DOW before December 31, 2026?
15%
Likely No
96% agreement
Dec 31, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will LyondellBasell (LYB) or Westlake (WLK) announce material capacity curtailment before December 31, 2026?
18%
Likely No
95% agreement
Dec 31, 2026
IG: 0.48
Resolution Timeline
Aug 1, 2026
Will DOW disclose a Transform to Outperform run-rate exceeding $1.0B cost savings by Q2 2026 earnings?Prediction: 55%
Dec 31, 2026
Will S&P Global Ratings downgrade DOW to BBB- (or lower) by December 31, 2026?Prediction: 25%
Dec 31, 2026
Will DOW disclose a Sadara JV impairment charge before December 31, 2026?Prediction: 25%
Dec 31, 2026
Will DOW stock close above $50.00 on any trading day before December 31, 2026?Prediction: 30%
Dec 31, 2026
Will an activist investor disclose a material stake in DOW before December 31, 2026?Prediction: 15%
Dec 31, 2026
Will LyondellBasell (LYB) or Westlake (WLK) announce material capacity curtailment before December 31, 2026?Prediction: 18%