Archived research. Equity forecasting is part of the Runchey Research archive (methodology era 1) and is no longer actively updated. Everything remains published at its original URL. Browse the archive
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EQX Forecast Markets
Equinox Gold
7
Active Markets
45%
Avg Probability
All Markets
7 markets
Will gold trade below $3,000/oz for more than 30 consecutive days in 2026?
6%
Likely No
97% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will Castle Mountain receive a positive Record of Decision by December 2026?
40%
Likely No
93% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will Greenstone produce less than 110,000 oz in H1 2026?
15%
Likely No
94% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.60
Will EQX meet the low end of 2026 production guidance (700,000 oz)?
70%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.60
Will Valentine achieve consistent nameplate throughput by Q2 2026?
61%
Likely Yes
93% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will EQX achieve net-cash status (negative net debt) by year-end 2026?
32%
Likely No
93% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will EQX maintain its quarterly dividend through all four quarters of 2026?
90%
Likely Yes
96% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.24
Resolution Timeline
Jan 15, 2027
Will gold trade below $3,000/oz for more than 30 consecutive days in 2026?Prediction: 6%
Jan 15, 2027
Will Castle Mountain receive a positive Record of Decision by December 2026?Prediction: 40%
Jan 31, 2027
Will EQX maintain its quarterly dividend through all four quarters of 2026?Prediction: 90%