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FCX Forecast Markets

Freeport-McMoRan Inc.

8
Active Markets
39%
Avg Probability
Price at Value
Apr 5, 2026

Our prediction ensemble suggests price is consistent with fundamentals.

8 markets analyzedConfidence: MEDIUM
Read Full Thesis

All Markets

8 markets

Will Indonesia announce Contract of Work extension terms for Grasberg that reduce FCX's economic share by 2026 year-end?

Active
28%
Likely No
90% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 1.00

Will Grasberg PB2/3 underground mill throughput reach 80% of nameplate capacity by Q3 2026?

Active
38%
Likely No
92% agreement
Nov 15, 2026
IG: 0.80

Will FCX's leach initiative produce at least 300 million recoverable copper pounds in calendar year 2026?

Active
47%
Likely No
88% agreement
Feb 15, 2027
IG: 0.80

Will FCX announce a formal investment decision on the Bagdad mine expansion by year-end 2026?

Active
52%
Likely Yes
88% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.64

Will LME copper spot price fall below $4.00/lb for any consecutive 5-trading-day period by September 2026?

Active
13%
Likely No
95% agreement
Oct 15, 2026
IG: 0.60

Will FCX reduce FY2026 copper production guidance below the current range by Q3 2026 reporting?

Active
37%
Likely No
90% agreement
Nov 15, 2026
IG: 0.60

Will FCX beat consensus EPS estimates for Q1 2026 (reporting April 16)?

Active
55%
Likely Yes
92% agreement
Apr 17, 2026
IG: 0.48

Will the securities class action against FCX survive a motion to dismiss by year-end 2026?

Active
41%
Likely No
88% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.48

Resolution Timeline

Apr 17, 2026
Will FCX beat consensus EPS estimates for Q1 2026 (reporting April 16)?
Prediction: 55%
Oct 15, 2026
Will LME copper spot price fall below $4.00/lb for any consecutive 5-trading-day period by September 2026?
Prediction: 13%
Nov 15, 2026
Will Grasberg PB2/3 underground mill throughput reach 80% of nameplate capacity by Q3 2026?
Prediction: 38%
Nov 15, 2026
Will FCX reduce FY2026 copper production guidance below the current range by Q3 2026 reporting?
Prediction: 37%
Jan 15, 2027
Will Indonesia announce Contract of Work extension terms for Grasberg that reduce FCX's economic share by 2026 year-end?
Prediction: 28%
Jan 15, 2027
Will FCX announce a formal investment decision on the Bagdad mine expansion by year-end 2026?
Prediction: 52%
Jan 15, 2027
Will the securities class action against FCX survive a motion to dismiss by year-end 2026?
Prediction: 41%
Feb 15, 2027
Will FCX's leach initiative produce at least 300 million recoverable copper pounds in calendar year 2026?
Prediction: 47%