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GEV Forecast Markets
GE Vernova Inc.
6
Active Markets
2
Resolved
60%
Avg Probability
All Markets
8 markets
Will US tariffs on imported GOES electrical steel exceed 25% by year-end 2026?
49%
Likely No
51%49%after Q1 2026 earnings (2026-04-23)
93% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will GEV's book-to-bill ratio remain above 1.5x through H1 2026?
90%
Likely Yes
73%90%after Q1 2026 earnings (2026-04-23)
96% agreement
Jul 31, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will Siemens Energy report gas turbine order growth exceeding 20% YoY in any 2026 quarter?
52%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Feb 15, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will US wind energy ITC/PTC tax credits be extended beyond their current 2027 expiration by year-end 2026?
20%
Likely No
96% agreement
Jan 5, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will GEV announce a Wind segment restructuring charge or impairment exceeding $500M by year-end 2026?
33%
Likely No
23%33%after Q1 2026 earnings (2026-04-23)
93% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will GEV's FY2026 free cash flow exceed $5.0B?
91%
Likely Yes
60%91%after Q1 2026 earnings (2026-04-23)
96% agreement
Feb 15, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will GEV's Electrification segment revenue exceed $4.0B in Q1 2026?
68%
Likely Yes
Actual: NO
Brier: 0.462Apr 23, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will GEV's Q1 2026 revenue exceed $10.5B?
73%
Likely Yes
Actual: NO
Brier: 0.533Apr 23, 2026
IG: 0.48
Resolution Timeline
Apr 23, 2026RESOLVED
Will GEV's Electrification segment revenue exceed $4.0B in Q1 2026? NOBrier: 0.46
Jan 15, 2027
Will US tariffs on imported GOES electrical steel exceed 25% by year-end 2026?Prediction: 49%
Feb 15, 2027
Will Siemens Energy report gas turbine order growth exceeding 20% YoY in any 2026 quarter?Prediction: 52%
Feb 28, 2027
Will GEV announce a Wind segment restructuring charge or impairment exceeding $500M by year-end 2026?Prediction: 33%