RuncheyResearch
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GTLB Forecast Markets

GitLab Inc.

7
Active Markets
2
Resolved
35%
Avg Probability
Price Below Value
Mar 3, 2026

Our prediction ensemble suggests potential upside from current levels.

7 markets analyzedConfidence: MEDIUM-HIGH
Read Full Thesis

All Markets

9 markets

Will GitLab disclose Duo Agent revenue or adoption metrics showing >5% penetration of Ultimate customers by Q2 FY2027?

Active
28%
Likely No
44%28%after Q4 FY2026 earnings update
81% agreement
Sep 30, 2026
IG: 1.00

Will GitLab's dollar-based net retention rate fall below 115% in any two consecutive quarters by Q2 FY2027?

Active
13%
Likely No
20%13%after Q4 FY2026 earnings update
89% agreement
Sep 15, 2026
IG: 0.80

Will GitLab's Q1 FY2027 revenue growth exceed 20% YoY?

Active
58%
Likely Yes
89% agreement
Jul 15, 2026
IG: 0.64

Will GitLab's year-over-year total revenue growth fall below 15% in any quarter by Q2 FY2027?

Active
25%
Likely No
37%25%after Q4 FY2026 earnings update
83% agreement
Sep 15, 2026
IG: 0.60

Will two or more GitLab insiders make open-market or 10b5-1 plan purchases in any single month by July 2026?

Active
16%
Likely No
13%16%after Q4 FY2026 earnings update
90% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.48

Will GitHub launch a generally available unified security and compliance product by Q2 FY2027 (July 2026)?

Active
17%
Likely No
20%17%after Q4 FY2026 earnings update
91% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.48

Will GitLab repurchase more than $100M in shares under the buyback program by Q2 FY2027?

Active
50%
Likely No
91% agreement
Oct 15, 2026
IG: 0.48

Will GitLab's Q4 FY2026 revenue growth exceed the guided ~19% YoY by 3+ percentage points?

Resolved
42%
Likely No
Actual: YES
Brier: 0.336
Mar 3, 2026
IG: 0.64

Will GitLab's non-GAAP operating margin exceed 20% in any quarter by Q2 FY2027?

Resolved
62%
Likely Yes
Actual: YES
Brier: 0.144
Mar 3, 2026
IG: 0.48

Resolution Timeline

Apr 15, 2026RESOLVED
Will GitLab's Q4 FY2026 revenue growth exceed the guided ~19% YoY by 3+ percentage points?
YESBrier: 0.34
Jul 15, 2026
Will GitLab's Q1 FY2027 revenue growth exceed 20% YoY?
Prediction: 58%
Aug 15, 2026
Will two or more GitLab insiders make open-market or 10b5-1 plan purchases in any single month by July 2026?
Prediction: 16%
Aug 15, 2026
Will GitHub launch a generally available unified security and compliance product by Q2 FY2027 (July 2026)?
Prediction: 17%
Sep 15, 2026
Will GitLab's dollar-based net retention rate fall below 115% in any two consecutive quarters by Q2 FY2027?
Prediction: 13%
Sep 15, 2026
Will GitLab's year-over-year total revenue growth fall below 15% in any quarter by Q2 FY2027?
Prediction: 25%
Sep 15, 2026RESOLVED
Will GitLab's non-GAAP operating margin exceed 20% in any quarter by Q2 FY2027?
YESBrier: 0.14
Sep 30, 2026
Will GitLab disclose Duo Agent revenue or adoption metrics showing >5% penetration of Ultimate customers by Q2 FY2027?
Prediction: 28%
Oct 15, 2026
Will GitLab repurchase more than $100M in shares under the buyback program by Q2 FY2027?
Prediction: 50%