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LCID Forecast Markets
Lucid Group, Inc.
7
Active Markets
31%
Avg Probability
All Markets
7 markets
Will Lucid achieve start of production for its midsize platform by December 31, 2026?
32%
Likely No
80% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 1.00
Will Lucid report positive automotive gross margin in Q1 2026?
16%
Likely No
85% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will Lucid refinance its September 2026 convertible notes without additional dilution exceeding 10% of shares outstanding?
40%
Likely No
82% agreement
Nov 15, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will Lucid achieve commercial robotaxi deployment with Uber by December 31, 2026?
8%
Likely No
92% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will Lucid deliver more than 30,000 vehicles in FY2026?
25%
Likely No
82% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will Lucid reduce days of inventory below 80 days by Q2 2026?
45%
Likely No
75% agreement
Nov 15, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will Lucid's Q1 2026 free cash flow burn be less than $1 billion?
52%
Likely Yes
72% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.48
Resolution Timeline
Jan 31, 2027
Will Lucid achieve start of production for its midsize platform by December 31, 2026?Prediction: 32%
Jan 31, 2027
Will Lucid achieve commercial robotaxi deployment with Uber by December 31, 2026?Prediction: 8%