Archived research. Equity forecasting is part of the Runchey Research archive (methodology era 1) and is no longer actively updated. Everything remains published at its original URL. Browse the archive
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RBLX Forecast Markets
Roblox Corporation
8
Active Markets
27%
Avg Probability
All Markets
8 markets
Will RBLX monthly unique payer YoY growth fall below DAU YoY growth by Q2 2026?
33%
Likely No
90% agreement
Sep 15, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will RBLX DevEx payouts exceed 27% of bookings in any 2026 quarter?
22%
Likely No
94% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will RBLX achieve GAAP net income profitability in any quarter of calendar 2026?
11%
Likely No
96% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will RBLX Q1 2026 bookings YoY growth fall below 20%?
4%
Likely No
98% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.60
Will RBLX non-top-10 experience engagement growth fall below 30% by Q2 2026?
18%
Likely No
94% agreement
Sep 15, 2026
IG: 0.60
Will RBLX global age verification penetration reach 60% of DAUs by end of 2026?
60%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will RBLX free cash flow margin decline in both Q2 and Q3 2026 YoY?
35%
Likely No
94% agreement
Dec 15, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will RBLX APAC bookings YoY growth fall below 50% in H1 2026?
29%
Likely No
94% agreement
Sep 15, 2026
IG: 0.48
Resolution Timeline
Sep 15, 2026
Will RBLX monthly unique payer YoY growth fall below DAU YoY growth by Q2 2026?Prediction: 33%
Sep 15, 2026
Will RBLX non-top-10 experience engagement growth fall below 30% by Q2 2026?Prediction: 18%
Mar 15, 2027
Will RBLX achieve GAAP net income profitability in any quarter of calendar 2026?Prediction: 11%
Mar 15, 2027
Will RBLX global age verification penetration reach 60% of DAUs by end of 2026?Prediction: 60%