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SNAP Forecast Markets
Snap Inc
7
Active Markets
29%
Avg Probability
All Markets
7 markets
Will Snap's North America DAU fall below 90M by Q2 2026?
27%
Likely No
92% agreement
Aug 1, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will Snap report positive YoY eCPM growth in any quarter of H1 2026?
25%
Likely No
91% agreement
Aug 1, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will Snap launch consumer Specs and raise additional capital for the product by end of 2026?
20%
Likely No
94% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will Snap face a major adverse regulatory ruling or settlement exceeding $100M by end of 2026?
17%
Likely No
94% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.60
Will Snapchat+ subscribers exceed 30M by Q2 2026?
52%
Likely Yes
92% agreement
Aug 1, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will Snap sustain gross margins at or above 60% for both Q1 and Q2 2026?
40%
Likely No
45%40%after April 15, 2026 8-K: FY2026 60%+ target reiterated but Q2 2026 restructuring charges ($95-130M) create Q2-specific margin noise; H2 2026 is when savings fully ramp
96% agreement
Aug 1, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will Snap's FY2026 stock-based compensation fall below $1B?
20%
Likely No
7%20%after April 15, 2026 8-K: FY2026 SBC guidance cut from ~$1.2B to ~$1.05B alongside 16% workforce reduction (~1,000 employees)
95% agreement
Mar 1, 2027
IG: 0.36
Resolution Timeline
Jan 15, 2027
Will Snap launch consumer Specs and raise additional capital for the product by end of 2026?Prediction: 20%
Jan 15, 2027
Will Snap face a major adverse regulatory ruling or settlement exceeding $100M by end of 2026?Prediction: 17%