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TJX Forecast Markets

TJX Companies

9
Active Markets
41%
Avg Probability
Price Above Value
Mar 8, 2026

Our prediction ensemble identifies elevated risk at current levels.

9 markets analyzedConfidence: MEDIUM
Read Full Thesis

All Markets

9 markets

Will TJX report Q1 FY27 comparable store sales growth of +3% or higher?

Active
55%
Likely Yes
93% agreement
Jun 30, 2026
IG: 0.80

Will TJX report HomeGoods segment margin above 10.5% in any quarter of FY27?

Active
40%
Likely No
94% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.64

Will U.S. average effective tariff rates on consumer goods decline by more than 5 percentage points from March 2026 levels by December 2026?

Active
11%
Likely No
96% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.64

Will TJX report FY27 full-year pretax margin above 11.8%?

Active
30%
Likely No
94% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.60

Will TJX report FY27 adjusted EPS above the high end of initial guidance ($5.02)?

Active
58%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.60

Will TJX report FY27 full-year SG&A ratio below 20.0% of net sales?

Active
38%
Likely No
93% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.48

Will TJX report FY27 full-year gross margin above 31.0%?

Active
45%
Likely No
93% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.48

Will TJX announce CEO succession planning or a CEO transition by December 2026?

Active
11%
Likely No
96% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.48

Will TJX add 100 or more net new stores in FY27?

Active
82%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.36

Resolution Timeline

Jun 30, 2026
Will TJX report Q1 FY27 comparable store sales growth of +3% or higher?
Prediction: 55%
Jan 15, 2027
Will TJX announce CEO succession planning or a CEO transition by December 2026?
Prediction: 11%
Jan 31, 2027
Will U.S. average effective tariff rates on consumer goods decline by more than 5 percentage points from March 2026 levels by December 2026?
Prediction: 11%
Mar 15, 2027
Will TJX report HomeGoods segment margin above 10.5% in any quarter of FY27?
Prediction: 40%
Mar 15, 2027
Will TJX report FY27 full-year pretax margin above 11.8%?
Prediction: 30%
Mar 15, 2027
Will TJX report FY27 adjusted EPS above the high end of initial guidance ($5.02)?
Prediction: 58%
Mar 15, 2027
Will TJX report FY27 full-year SG&A ratio below 20.0% of net sales?
Prediction: 38%
Mar 15, 2027
Will TJX report FY27 full-year gross margin above 31.0%?
Prediction: 45%
Mar 15, 2027
Will TJX add 100 or more net new stores in FY27?
Prediction: 82%