DNNActive

Will uranium spot price remain above US$65/lb through H2 2026?

Resolves January 15, 2027(281d)

IG: 0.80

Current Prediction

70%

Likely Yes

Model Agreement97%

Predictions9 runs

Last UpdatedApril 8, 2026

Why This Question Matters

Uranium spot currently at US$70-80/lb. Below US$55 threatens project economics and financing capacity. Uranium price affects project economics, physical holdings value (C$250-350M), and financing attr

FUNDING_FRAGILITY

Prediction Distribution

0%25%50%75%100%

opus

sonnet

haiku

Range: 65% – 75%Aggregate: 70%

Individual Predictions(9 runs)

opusRun 1

72%

See prediction context.

See prediction-context.md

opusRun 2

70%

See prediction context.

See prediction-context.md

opusRun 3

75%

See prediction context.

See prediction-context.md

sonnetRun 1

68%

See prediction context.

See prediction-context.md

sonnetRun 2

65%

See prediction context.

See prediction-context.md

sonnetRun 3

70%

See prediction context.

See prediction-context.md

haikuRun 1

70%

See prediction context.

See prediction-context.md

haikuRun 2

68%

See prediction context.

See prediction-context.md

haikuRun 3

68%

See prediction context.

See prediction-context.md

Resolution Criteria

Resolves YES if uranium spot price (UxC or TradeTech reference) averages above US$65/lb from July 1 through December 31, 2026. Resolves NO if average falls below US$65.

Resolution Source

UxC or TradeTech spot price reference

Source Trigger

Uranium at US$70-80/lb; below US$55 threatens economics and financing; above US$100 validates thesis

stress-scannerFUNDING_FRAGILITYHIGH

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