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PSKYActive

Will PSKY achieve adjusted free cash flow conversion of 10% or higher for FY2026?

Resolves March 15, 2027(363d)
IG: 0.80

Current Prediction

45%
Likely No
Model Agreement70%
Predictions9 runs
Last UpdatedMarch 16, 2026

Prediction Distribution

0%25%50%75%100%
opus
sonnet
haiku
Range: 40%50%Aggregate: 45%
Individual Predictions(9 runs)
opusRun 1
50%

Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.

Source analysis findingsHistorical patternsCross-lens evidence
opusRun 2
42%

Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.

Source analysis findingsHistorical patternsCross-lens evidence
opusRun 3
47%

Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.

Source analysis findingsHistorical patternsCross-lens evidence
sonnetRun 1
40%

Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.

Source analysis findingsHistorical patternsCross-lens evidence
sonnetRun 2
49%

Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.

Source analysis findingsHistorical patternsCross-lens evidence
sonnetRun 3
43%

Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.

Source analysis findingsHistorical patternsCross-lens evidence
haikuRun 1
46%

Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.

Source analysis findingsHistorical patternsCross-lens evidence
haikuRun 2
41%

Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.

Source analysis findingsHistorical patternsCross-lens evidence
haikuRun 3
48%

Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.

Source analysis findingsHistorical patternsCross-lens evidence

Resolution Criteria

Resolves YES if PSKY's FY2026 adjusted free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures, excluding restructuring/transformation charges) divided by adjusted EBIT equals 10% or higher. Resolves NO if adjusted FCF conversion remains below 10%.

Resolution Source

PSKY FY2026 10-K filing, Q4 2026 earnings release

Source Trigger

Adjusted FCF conversion rate. Below 10% in FY2026 would escalate funding fragility assessment to CRITICAL.

stress-scannerFUNDING_FRAGILITYHIGH
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