Archived research. Equity forecasting is part of the Runchey Research archive (methodology era 1) and is no longer actively updated. Everything remains published at its original URL. Browse the archive

Back to Forecasting
PSKYActive

Will PSKY achieve adjusted free cash flow conversion of 10% or higher for FY2026?

Resolves March 15, 2027(229d)
IG: 0.80

Current Prediction

45%
Likely No
Model Agreement70%
Predictions9 runs
Last UpdatedMarch 16, 2026

Prediction Distribution

0%25%50%75%100%
opus
sonnet
haiku
Range: 40%50%Aggregate: 45%
Individual Predictions(9 runs)
opusRun 1
50%

Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.

Source analysis findingsHistorical patternsCross-lens evidence
opusRun 2
42%

Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.

Source analysis findingsHistorical patternsCross-lens evidence
opusRun 3
47%

Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.

Source analysis findingsHistorical patternsCross-lens evidence
sonnetRun 1
40%

Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.

Source analysis findingsHistorical patternsCross-lens evidence
sonnetRun 2
49%

Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.

Source analysis findingsHistorical patternsCross-lens evidence
sonnetRun 3
43%

Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.

Source analysis findingsHistorical patternsCross-lens evidence
haikuRun 1
46%

Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.

Source analysis findingsHistorical patternsCross-lens evidence
haikuRun 2
41%

Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.

Source analysis findingsHistorical patternsCross-lens evidence
haikuRun 3
48%

Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.

Source analysis findingsHistorical patternsCross-lens evidence

Resolution Criteria

Resolves YES if PSKY's FY2026 adjusted free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures, excluding restructuring/transformation charges) divided by adjusted EBIT equals 10% or higher. Resolves NO if adjusted FCF conversion remains below 10%.

Resolution Source

PSKY FY2026 10-K filing, Q4 2026 earnings release

Source Trigger

Adjusted FCF conversion rate. Below 10% in FY2026 would escalate funding fragility assessment to CRITICAL.

stress-scannerFUNDING_FRAGILITYHIGH
View PSKY Analysis

Full multi-lens equity analysis