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ADM Forecast Markets
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
7
Active Markets
36%
Avg Probability
All Markets
7 markets
Will ADM announce a securities class action settlement or trial date by year-end 2026?
28%
Likely No
92% agreement
Dec 31, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will the EPA publish final Renewable Volume Obligation requirements for 2027+ by Q3 2026?
18%
Likely No
94% agreement
Sep 30, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will ADM's leverage ratio exceed 2.0x in any quarterly filing during FY2026?
40%
Likely No
94% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will ADM's FY2026 adjusted EPS meet or exceed the low end of initial guidance ($3.60)?
60%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will ADM's crushing subsegment operating profit exceed $500M in H2 2026?
25%
Likely No
94% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.60
Will ADM executives conduct additional discretionary stock sales exceeding $5M in aggregate by Q3 2026?
55%
Likely Yes
92% agreement
Oct 15, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will ADM report liquid sweetener volume decline exceeding 10% YoY in any quarter of FY2026?
28%
Likely No
92% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.48
Resolution Timeline
Sep 30, 2026
Will the EPA publish final Renewable Volume Obligation requirements for 2027+ by Q3 2026?Prediction: 18%
Oct 15, 2026
Will ADM executives conduct additional discretionary stock sales exceeding $5M in aggregate by Q3 2026?Prediction: 55%
Dec 31, 2026
Will ADM announce a securities class action settlement or trial date by year-end 2026?Prediction: 28%
Feb 28, 2027
Will ADM's leverage ratio exceed 2.0x in any quarterly filing during FY2026?Prediction: 40%
Feb 28, 2027
Will ADM's FY2026 adjusted EPS meet or exceed the low end of initial guidance ($3.60)?Prediction: 60%
Feb 28, 2027
Will ADM report liquid sweetener volume decline exceeding 10% YoY in any quarter of FY2026?Prediction: 28%