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AES Forecast Markets
AES Corporation
7
Active Markets
63%
Avg Probability
All Markets
7 markets
Will AES's take-private deal receive all required US regulatory approvals (FERC, PUCO, NY PSC, CFIUS, HSR) by December 31, 2026?
37%
Likely No
94% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will AES sign at least 3 GW of new PPAs in FY2025?
78%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
May 15, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will the AES take-private deal close at $15/share by the June 1, 2027 termination deadline?
70%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Jun 15, 2027
IG: 0.60
Will AES's FY2025 Renewables SBU Adjusted EBITDA grow at least 45% year-over-year?
82%
Likely Yes
96% agreement
May 15, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will AES achieve FFO/Net Debt ratio of 12% or higher by end of FY2026?
42%
Likely No
94% agreement
May 15, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will AES complete at least 2 GW of new renewables capacity in H1 2026?
68%
Likely Yes
96% agreement
Oct 31, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will the AES Indiana IURC rate case final order match the partial settlement terms within 10%?
64%
Likely Yes
96% agreement
Sep 30, 2026
IG: 0.36
Resolution Timeline
May 15, 2026
Will AES's FY2025 Renewables SBU Adjusted EBITDA grow at least 45% year-over-year?Prediction: 82%
Sep 30, 2026
Will the AES Indiana IURC rate case final order match the partial settlement terms within 10%?Prediction: 64%
Jun 15, 2027
Will the AES take-private deal close at $15/share by the June 1, 2027 termination deadline?Prediction: 70%