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DAL Forecast Markets
Delta Air Lines, Inc.
5
Active Markets
2
Resolved
47%
Avg Probability
All Markets
7 markets
Will Delta achieve FY2026 adjusted EPS at or above $6.50 (low end of guidance)?
30%
Likely No
56%30%after Q1 2026 earnings
85% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 1.00
Will Delta's main cabin RASM turn positive YoY by Q2 2026?
91%
Likely Yes
54%91%after Q1 2026 earnings
95% agreement
Jul 31, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will Delta's AmEx remuneration grow above 5% YoY in every reported quarter of FY2026?
80%
Likely Yes
77%80%after Q1 2026 earnings
90% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will credit card rate cap legislation pass a Congressional committee vote by December 2026?
11%
Likely No
95% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will Delta achieve gross leverage at or below 2.0x by year-end 2026?
38%
Likely No
61%38%after Q1 2026 earnings
85% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.36
Will Delta report Q1 2026 EPS at or above $0.50 (low end of guidance)?
76%
Likely Yes
Actual: YES
Brier: 0.058Apr 8, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will average jet fuel price remain above $3.00/gallon through H1 2026?
3%
Likely No
Actual: NO
Brier: 0.001Apr 8, 2026
IG: 0.80
Resolution Timeline
Apr 30, 2026RESOLVED
Will Delta report Q1 2026 EPS at or above $0.50 (low end of guidance)? YESBrier: 0.06
Jul 31, 2026RESOLVED
Will average jet fuel price remain above $3.00/gallon through H1 2026? NOBrier: 0.00
Jan 15, 2027
Will credit card rate cap legislation pass a Congressional committee vote by December 2026?Prediction: 11%
Jan 31, 2027
Will Delta achieve FY2026 adjusted EPS at or above $6.50 (low end of guidance)?Prediction: 30%
Jan 31, 2027
Will Delta's AmEx remuneration grow above 5% YoY in every reported quarter of FY2026?Prediction: 80%