Archived research. Equity forecasting is part of the Runchey Research archive (methodology era 1) and is no longer actively updated. Everything remains published at its original URL. Browse the archive
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FSM Forecast Markets
Fortuna Mining Corp
7
Active Markets
46%
Avg Probability
All Markets
7 markets
Will FSM announce a positive Diamba Sud construction decision by December 31, 2026?
65%
Likely Yes
91% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will Lindero resume normal production levels by Q2 2026 after the crusher repair?
75%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will FSM generate free cash flow above $200M in FY2026?
58%
Likely Yes
88% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will gold price fall below $2,000/oz at any point in H2 2026?
7%
Likely No
97% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.60
Will FSM report any material security-related production disruption at Seguela or Diamba Sud in 2026?
11%
Likely No
94% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.60
Will Seguela produce at least 160,000 oz of gold in FY2026?
75%
Likely Yes
93% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will Argentina substantially ease mining sector capital controls by December 31, 2026?
34%
Likely No
91% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.48
Resolution Timeline
Aug 15, 2026
Will Lindero resume normal production levels by Q2 2026 after the crusher repair?Prediction: 75%
Jan 15, 2027
Will FSM announce a positive Diamba Sud construction decision by December 31, 2026?Prediction: 65%
Jan 15, 2027
Will FSM report any material security-related production disruption at Seguela or Diamba Sud in 2026?Prediction: 11%
Jan 15, 2027
Will Argentina substantially ease mining sector capital controls by December 31, 2026?Prediction: 34%