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KSS Forecast Markets

Kohl's Corporation

7
Active Markets
1
Resolved
30%
Avg Probability
Price at Value
Mar 10, 2026

Our prediction ensemble suggests price is consistent with fundamentals.

8 markets analyzedConfidence: MEDIUM
Read Full Thesis

All Markets

8 markets

Will Sephora at Kohl's report negative comparable sales in any quarter of FY2026?

Active
48%
Likely No
53%48%after Q4 FY2025 earnings update
96% agreement
Mar 31, 2027
IG: 0.80

Will any Kohl's insider make an open-market stock purchase by end of CY2026?

Active
17%
Likely No
20%17%after Q4 FY2025 earnings update
97% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.64

Will any major rating agency downgrade Kohl's to CCC+ or lower by end of CY2026?

Active
10%
Likely No
22%10%after Q4 FY2025 earnings update
97% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.60

Will Kohl's FY2026 annual operating margin fall below 1.0%?

Active
16%
Likely No
37%16%after Q4 FY2025 earnings update
96% agreement
Mar 31, 2027
IG: 0.60

Will Kohl's disclose a covenant breach, waiver request, or credit facility amendment by end of CY2026?

Active
6%
Likely No
17%6%after Q4 FY2025 earnings update
98% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.60

Will Kohl's report positive comparable sales in any quarter of FY2026?

Active
40%
Likely No
20%40%after Q4 FY2025 earnings update
93% agreement
Mar 31, 2027
IG: 0.48

Will Kohl's supplier finance program balance exceed $150M by end of FY2026?

Active
38%
Likely No
59%38%after Q4 FY2025 earnings update
92% agreement
Mar 31, 2027
IG: 0.48

Will Kohl's report Q4 FY2025 comparable sales worse than -4%?

Resolved
61%
Likely Yes
Actual: NO
Brier: 0.372
Mar 10, 2026
IG: 0.80

Resolution Timeline

Mar 31, 2026RESOLVED
Will Kohl's report Q4 FY2025 comparable sales worse than -4%?
NOBrier: 0.37
Jan 31, 2027
Will any Kohl's insider make an open-market stock purchase by end of CY2026?
Prediction: 17%
Jan 31, 2027
Will any major rating agency downgrade Kohl's to CCC+ or lower by end of CY2026?
Prediction: 10%
Jan 31, 2027
Will Kohl's disclose a covenant breach, waiver request, or credit facility amendment by end of CY2026?
Prediction: 6%
Mar 31, 2027
Will Sephora at Kohl's report negative comparable sales in any quarter of FY2026?
Prediction: 48%
Mar 31, 2027
Will Kohl's FY2026 annual operating margin fall below 1.0%?
Prediction: 16%
Mar 31, 2027
Will Kohl's report positive comparable sales in any quarter of FY2026?
Prediction: 40%
Mar 31, 2027
Will Kohl's supplier finance program balance exceed $150M by end of FY2026?
Prediction: 38%