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ORCL Forecast Markets

Oracle Corporation

6
Active Markets
2
Resolved
22%
Avg Probability
Price Above Value
Mar 10, 2026

Our prediction ensemble identifies elevated risk at current levels.

8 markets analyzedConfidence: MEDIUM
Read Full Thesis

All Markets

8 markets

Will Oracle report positive free cash flow in any quarter through Q1 FY2027 (Aug 2026)?

Active
7%
Likely No
10%7%after Q3 FY2026 earnings
97% agreement
Oct 15, 2026
IG: 0.80

Will OpenAI complete an IPO or major equity raise valuing it at $60B+ by September 2026?

Active
71%
Likely Yes
69%71%after Q3 FY2026 earnings
94% agreement
Sep 30, 2026
IG: 0.80

Will any Oracle insider make an open-market stock purchase by June 30, 2026?

Active
6%
Likely No
10%6%after Q3 FY2026 earnings
97% agreement
Jul 15, 2026
IG: 0.64

Will Oracle raise FY2027 CapEx guidance above $50B or suspend its dividend by Q4 FY2026 earnings?

Active
43%
Likely No
65%43%after Q3 FY2026 earnings
85% agreement
Jul 15, 2026
IG: 0.64

Will Moody's or S&P downgrade Oracle's credit rating below investment grade by December 2026?

Active
6%
Likely No
9%6%after Q3 FY2026 earnings
94% agreement
Dec 31, 2026
IG: 0.60

Will Oracle's FY2026 10-K receive a modified or qualified audit opinion from Ernst & Young?

Active
3%
Likely No
4%3%after Q3 FY2026 earnings
99% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.60

Will Oracle's OCI IaaS revenue growth decelerate below 40% YoY in Q3 FY2026?

Resolved
10%
Likely No
Actual: NO
Brier: 0.010
Mar 10, 2026
IG: 0.80

Will Oracle's Q3 FY2026 operating cash flow fall below $3B?

Resolved
30%
Likely No
Actual: NO
Brier: 0.090
Mar 10, 2026
IG: 0.64

Resolution Timeline

Apr 15, 2026RESOLVED
Will Oracle's OCI IaaS revenue growth decelerate below 40% YoY in Q3 FY2026?
NOBrier: 0.01
Apr 15, 2026RESOLVED
Will Oracle's Q3 FY2026 operating cash flow fall below $3B?
NOBrier: 0.09
Jul 15, 2026
Will any Oracle insider make an open-market stock purchase by June 30, 2026?
Prediction: 6%
Jul 15, 2026
Will Oracle raise FY2027 CapEx guidance above $50B or suspend its dividend by Q4 FY2026 earnings?
Prediction: 43%
Aug 15, 2026
Will Oracle's FY2026 10-K receive a modified or qualified audit opinion from Ernst & Young?
Prediction: 3%
Sep 30, 2026
Will OpenAI complete an IPO or major equity raise valuing it at $60B+ by September 2026?
Prediction: 71%
Oct 15, 2026
Will Oracle report positive free cash flow in any quarter through Q1 FY2027 (Aug 2026)?
Prediction: 7%
Dec 31, 2026
Will Moody's or S&P downgrade Oracle's credit rating below investment grade by December 2026?
Prediction: 6%