Archived research. Equity forecasting is part of the Runchey Research archive (methodology era 1) and is no longer actively updated. Everything remains published at its original URL. Browse the archive
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RDW Forecast Markets
Redwire Corporation
7
Active Markets
31%
Avg Probability
All Markets
7 markets
Will RDW achieve average gross margin above 20% in H1 2026?
17%
Likely No
97% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will RDW report FY2026 revenue at or above $450M (low end of guidance)?
50%
Likely No
97% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will RDW reduce net unfavorable EAC adjustments below $15M in FY2026?
25%
Likely No
97% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will Redwire receive a US Army LRR production contract award by end of 2026?
44%
Likely No
97% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will RDW generate positive operating cash flow in H2 2026?
15%
Likely No
97% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will AE Red Holdings complete its exit from RDW (reduce position below 5%) by end of 2026?
53%
Likely Yes
96% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will Redwire win a prime or significant subcontract on the Golden Dome missile defense program by end of 2026?
13%
Likely No
97% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.48
Resolution Timeline
Jan 15, 2027
Will Redwire receive a US Army LRR production contract award by end of 2026?Prediction: 44%
Jan 15, 2027
Will AE Red Holdings complete its exit from RDW (reduce position below 5%) by end of 2026?Prediction: 53%