Archived research. Equity forecasting is part of the Runchey Research archive (methodology era 1) and is no longer actively updated. Everything remains published at its original URL. Browse the archive
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SOFI Forecast Markets
SoFi Technologies
7
Active Markets
36%
Avg Probability
All Markets
7 markets
Will SoFi's fee-based revenue exceed 50% of total revenue for two consecutive quarters by Q4 2026?
30%
Likely No
92% agreement
Feb 15, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will SoFi disclose personal loan net charge-off rates above 4% annualized in any 2026 quarterly filing?
15%
Likely No
94% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will SoFi report Q1 2026 revenue above $735M?
70%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
May 15, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will US federal stablecoin legislation be signed into law by December 31, 2026?
50%
Likely No
94% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will SoFi's cross-buy rate decline below 35% in any FY2026 quarter?
8%
Likely No
98% agreement
Feb 15, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will SoFi's direct deposit percentage of total deposits decline below 90% in any FY2026 quarter?
4%
Likely No
98% agreement
Feb 15, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will SoFi maintain member growth above 20% YoY through FY2026?
74%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Feb 15, 2027
IG: 0.48
Resolution Timeline
Jan 15, 2027
Will US federal stablecoin legislation be signed into law by December 31, 2026?Prediction: 50%
Feb 15, 2027
Will SoFi's fee-based revenue exceed 50% of total revenue for two consecutive quarters by Q4 2026?Prediction: 30%
Feb 15, 2027
Will SoFi's direct deposit percentage of total deposits decline below 90% in any FY2026 quarter?Prediction: 4%
Mar 15, 2027
Will SoFi disclose personal loan net charge-off rates above 4% annualized in any 2026 quarterly filing?Prediction: 15%