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Will ServiceNow's Q2 2026 non-GAAP operating margin meet or exceed 26.5%?

Resolves August 15, 2026(114d)
IG: 0.64

Why This Question Matters

REPLENISHMENT (Q1 2026 update). CAPITAL_DEPLOYMENT lost active coverage when now-h2-2026-armis-close resolved YES. Q2 2026 op margin guide of 26.5% embeds 125bps Armis headwind and is the clearest near-term test (testable in late July) of whether Armis absorption is on the management-modeled trajectory. A miss would escalate CAPITAL_DEPLOYMENT toward QUESTIONABLE and validate the McDermott-defers-synergies concern; a meet/beat would support the orderly-transition baseline. 550bps sequential margin step-down from Q1's 32.0% makes the Q2 guide uniquely stressful.

CAPITAL_DEPLOYMENT

Resolution Criteria

Resolves YES if ServiceNow reports Q2 2026 non-GAAP operating margin of 26.5% or higher in the Q2 2026 earnings release (8-K) expected late July 2026. Resolves NO if Q2 2026 non-GAAP operating margin is below 26.5%. Resolution uses the non-GAAP operating margin figure disclosed in the earnings release supplemental data tables.

Resolution Source

ServiceNow Q2 2026 8-K earnings release, supplemental data tables, and earnings call transcript

Source Trigger

Q2 2026 operating margin 26.5% delivery -- miss escalates CAPITAL_DEPLOYMENT

consolidation-calibratorCAPITAL_DEPLOYMENTP0
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