2026 U.S. Midterms

Georgia Senate

Jon Ossoff holds the Georgia Senate seat

Rating
Likely D(deterministic, Jul 3, 2026)
Our forecast
not yet published
Market
86% as of Jul 6, 2026
Resolves
Nov 3, 2026

Probability over time

0%25%50%75%100%Jan 25May 25Sep 25Jan 26May 2686%

Notes

The most exposed Democratic incumbent on the 2026 map. Market lists Mike Collins as the Republican nominee.

Resolution

The Democratic nominee is certified winner of the 2026 Georgia U.S. Senate general election, including any runoff.

Benchmark markets

Candidate-level contract (Jon Ossoff). Treated as the probability the Democratic candidate holds the seat.