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AFRM Forecast Markets
Affirm Holdings, Inc.
7
Active Markets
49%
Avg Probability
All Markets
7 markets
Will Affirm's FY2027 GMV exceed $40 billion?
50%
Likely No
96% agreement
Sep 15, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will Affirm report at least one quarter of GAAP net income profitability in FY2026?
35%
Likely No
96% agreement
Sep 15, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will Affirm's 30-day delinquency rate remain below 4% through calendar 2026?
62%
Likely Yes
96% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will Affirm maintain RLTC as % of GMV above 3.5% for all quarters of FY2026?
68%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Sep 15, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will Affirm receive FDIC bank charter approval or denial by year-end 2026?
30%
Likely No
96% agreement
Dec 31, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will Affirm Card active users exceed 2 million by end of Q4 FY2026 (June 2026)?
45%
Likely No
96% agreement
Aug 31, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will Affirm's ABS issuance spreads remain below 200bps through calendar 2026?
55%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.48
Resolution Timeline
Aug 31, 2026
Will Affirm Card active users exceed 2 million by end of Q4 FY2026 (June 2026)?Prediction: 45%
Sep 15, 2026
Will Affirm report at least one quarter of GAAP net income profitability in FY2026?Prediction: 35%
Sep 15, 2026
Will Affirm maintain RLTC as % of GMV above 3.5% for all quarters of FY2026?Prediction: 68%
Dec 31, 2026
Will Affirm receive FDIC bank charter approval or denial by year-end 2026?Prediction: 30%
Jan 15, 2027
Will Affirm's ABS issuance spreads remain below 200bps through calendar 2026?Prediction: 55%
Jan 31, 2027
Will Affirm's 30-day delinquency rate remain below 4% through calendar 2026?Prediction: 62%