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CAT Forecast Markets
Caterpillar Inc.
8
Active Markets
30%
Avg Probability
All Markets
8 markets
Will CAT's total backlog decline below $48B by end of Q2 2026?
7%
Likely No
94% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will CAT report positive CI price realization in both Q1 and Q2 2026?
60%
Likely Yes
88% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will CAT's FY2026 net tariff costs exceed $2.6B?
41%
Likely No
85% agreement
Feb 15, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will CAT report adjusted operating margin at or above 19% in any quarter of H2 2026?
33%
Likely No
87% agreement
Feb 15, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will CAT's E&T segment report book-to-bill ratio below 1.0x in Q1 or Q2 2026?
12%
Likely No
92% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will CAT's ME&T free cash flow fall below $8B for FY2026?
15%
Likely No
91% agreement
Feb 15, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will the ITC issue an initial determination finding CAT infringed any Bobcat patent by December 2026?
19%
Likely No
87% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will CAT's FY2026 share buybacks exceed 60% of ME&T free cash flow?
56%
Likely Yes
88% agreement
Feb 15, 2027
IG: 0.48
Resolution Timeline
Aug 15, 2026
Will CAT's E&T segment report book-to-bill ratio below 1.0x in Q1 or Q2 2026?Prediction: 12%
Jan 15, 2027
Will the ITC issue an initial determination finding CAT infringed any Bobcat patent by December 2026?Prediction: 19%
Feb 15, 2027
Will CAT report adjusted operating margin at or above 19% in any quarter of H2 2026?Prediction: 33%