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CNC Forecast Markets
Centene Corporation
6
Active Markets
1
Resolved
40%
Avg Probability
All Markets
7 markets
Will Centene's ACA Marketplace membership remain above 3.0M at end of Q2 2026?
68%
Likely Yes
78% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.00
Will Centene achieve adjusted diluted EPS of at least $3.00 for FY2026?
45%
Likely No
65% agreement
Feb 15, 2027
IG: 0.00
Will CMS issue final OBBBA work requirement implementation guidance by September 30, 2026?
55%
Likely Yes
60% agreement
Oct 1, 2026
IG: 0.00
Will Congress pass legislation restoring enhanced ACA premium subsidies by December 31, 2026?
15%
Likely No
82% agreement
Jan 1, 2027
IG: 0.00
Will the Lunstrum v. Centene securities class action reach settlement or dismissal by December 31, 2026?
20%
Likely No
85% agreement
Jan 1, 2027
IG: 0.00
Will any major rating agency downgrade Centene's credit rating or issue a negative outlook by December 31, 2026?
35%
Likely No
75% agreement
Jan 1, 2027
IG: 0.00
Will Centene's Q1 2026 consolidated HBR be below 90%?
42%
Likely No
Actual: YES
Brier: 0.336Apr 29, 2026
IG: 0.00
Resolution Timeline
Aug 15, 2026
Will Centene's ACA Marketplace membership remain above 3.0M at end of Q2 2026?Prediction: 68%
Oct 1, 2026
Will CMS issue final OBBBA work requirement implementation guidance by September 30, 2026?Prediction: 55%
Jan 1, 2027
Will Congress pass legislation restoring enhanced ACA premium subsidies by December 31, 2026?Prediction: 15%
Jan 1, 2027
Will the Lunstrum v. Centene securities class action reach settlement or dismissal by December 31, 2026?Prediction: 20%