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HOOD Forecast Markets
Robinhood Markets
5
Active Markets
2
Resolved
25%
Avg Probability
All Markets
7 markets
Will Robinhood disclose annualized prediction market/event contract revenue exceeding $500M by Q2 2026 earnings?
17%
Likely No
12%17%after Q4 2025 earnings
87% agreement
Aug 31, 2026
IG: 1.00
Will the CFTC finalize event contract rulemaking by June 30, 2026?
8%
Likely No
11%8%after Q4 2025 earnings
92% agreement
Jul 15, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will Robinhood Gold subscribers exceed 5 million by Q2 2026?
52%
Likely Yes
72%52%after Q4 2025 earnings
79% agreement
Aug 31, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will any US regulatory body propose or enact new restrictions on payment for order flow by July 2026?
8%
Likely No
10%8%after Q4 2025 earnings
92% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will Robinhood's durable revenue (Gold subscriptions + advisory fees + other non-transaction, non-NII recurring) exceed 15% of total revenue by Q2 2026?
7%
Likely No
8%7%after Q4 2025 earnings
93% agreement
Aug 31, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will Robinhood's year-over-year total revenue growth fall below 30% in any quarter by Q2 2026?
62%
Likely Yes
Actual: YES
Brier: 0.144Feb 10, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will Robinhood's crypto transaction revenue decline more than 30% quarter-over-quarter in Q4 2025?
20%
Likely No
Actual: NO
Brier: 0.040Feb 10, 2026
IG: 0.64
Resolution Timeline
Mar 15, 2026RESOLVED
Will Robinhood's crypto transaction revenue decline more than 30% quarter-over-quarter in Q4 2025? NOBrier: 0.04
Aug 15, 2026
Will any US regulatory body propose or enact new restrictions on payment for order flow by July 2026?Prediction: 8%
Aug 31, 2026RESOLVED
Will Robinhood's year-over-year total revenue growth fall below 30% in any quarter by Q2 2026? YESBrier: 0.14