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KRMN Forecast Markets
Karman Holdings Inc.
4
Active Markets
3
Resolved
41%
Avg Probability
All Markets
7 markets
Will KRMN announce a contract award explicitly tied to the Golden Dome program by September 30, 2026?
20%
Likely No
23%20%after Q4 FY2025 earnings release
92% agreement
Oct 31, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will KRMN's G&A as a percentage of revenue remain above 15% in Q4 FY2025?
68%
Likely Yes
70%68%after Q4 FY2025 earnings release
92% agreement
Apr 30, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will KRMN CEO Koblinski's 10b5-1 selling pace exceed 100,000 shares per week on average before September 30, 2026?
3%
Likely No
11%3%after Q4 FY2025 earnings release
96% agreement
Oct 31, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will any prime contractor announce a dual-sourcing initiative for components currently sole-sourced from KRMN by December 31, 2026?
12%
Likely No
15%12%after Q4 FY2025 earnings release
96% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will KRMN's net leverage ratio exceed 3.5x adjusted EBITDA at FY2025 year-end?
18%
Likely No
Actual: YES
Brier: 0.672Mar 25, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will KRMN report Q4 FY2025 revenue growth above 25% year-over-year?
87%
Likely Yes
Actual: YES
Brier: 0.017Mar 25, 2026
IG: 0.60
Will KRMN guide FY2026 revenue growth of 20% or higher at their Q4 FY2025 earnings call?
76%
Likely Yes
Actual: YES
Brier: 0.058Mar 25, 2026
IG: 0.48
Resolution Timeline
Apr 30, 2026
Will KRMN's G&A as a percentage of revenue remain above 15% in Q4 FY2025?Prediction: 68%
Apr 30, 2026RESOLVED
Will KRMN's net leverage ratio exceed 3.5x adjusted EBITDA at FY2025 year-end? YESBrier: 0.67
Apr 30, 2026RESOLVED
Will KRMN report Q4 FY2025 revenue growth above 25% year-over-year? YESBrier: 0.02
May 15, 2026RESOLVED
Will KRMN guide FY2026 revenue growth of 20% or higher at their Q4 FY2025 earnings call? YESBrier: 0.06
Oct 31, 2026
Will KRMN announce a contract award explicitly tied to the Golden Dome program by September 30, 2026?Prediction: 20%