Back to Forecasting
LMND Forecast Markets
Lemonade, Inc.
6
Active Markets
2
Resolved
48%
Avg Probability
All Markets
8 markets
Will LMND report car insurance loss ratio below 70% for two consecutive quarters by Q2 2026?
20%
Likely No
94% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will LMND report multi-product bundling rate above 10% by Q4 2026?
15%
Likely No
95% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will LMND report Q3 2026 revenue growth above 25% YoY?
53%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Nov 15, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will LMND confirm Synthetic Agents $200M renewal by Q2 2026 earnings?
73%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.60
Will LMND achieve adjusted EBITDA breakeven (non-negative) by Q4 2026?
67%
Likely Yes
91% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will LMND's data breach class action settle or resolve for less than $20M by end of 2026?
35%
Likely No
92% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will LMND report Q4 2025 gross loss ratio below 65%?
66%
Likely Yes
Actual: YES
Brier: 0.116Feb 19, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will LMND report Q4 2025 in-force premium (IFP) growth above 30% YoY?
52%
Likely Yes
Actual: YES
Brier: 0.230Feb 19, 2026
IG: 0.48
Resolution Timeline
Mar 15, 2026RESOLVED
Will LMND report Q4 2025 in-force premium (IFP) growth above 30% YoY? YESBrier: 0.23
Aug 15, 2026
Will LMND report car insurance loss ratio below 70% for two consecutive quarters by Q2 2026?Prediction: 20%
Jan 31, 2027
Will LMND's data breach class action settle or resolve for less than $20M by end of 2026?Prediction: 35%