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MDB Forecast Markets

MongoDB, Inc.

9
Active Markets
33%
Avg Probability
Price at Value
Feb 21, 2026

Our prediction ensemble suggests price is consistent with fundamentals.

9 markets analyzedConfidence: MEDIUM
Read Full Thesis

All Markets

9 markets

Will MongoDB's Q4 FY2026 Atlas revenue growth decelerate below 25% year-over-year?

Active
20%
Likely No
94% agreement
Mar 15, 2026
IG: 0.80

Will MongoDB's initial FY2027 full-year revenue guidance imply growth of 20% or above?

Active
52%
Likely Yes
88% agreement
Mar 15, 2026
IG: 0.64

Will MongoDB provide a specific quantification of AI workload revenue contribution by Q2 FY2027 earnings?

Active
25%
Likely No
92% agreement
Sep 15, 2026
IG: 0.64

Will Databricks or Snowflake launch a generally available managed PostgreSQL document database service by end of calendar 2027?

Active
55%
Likely Yes
91% agreement
Jan 15, 2028
IG: 0.64

Will MongoDB's full-year FY2026 stock-based compensation exceed 50% of total revenue?

Active
76%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Apr 15, 2026
IG: 0.60

Will MongoDB's net ARR expansion rate fall below 115% in any quarter reported during H1 FY2027?

Active
15%
Likely No
94% agreement
Sep 15, 2026
IG: 0.60

Will MongoDB's FY2026 10-K filing contain any auditor emphasis-of-matter paragraph, accounting policy change, or auditor change?

Active
18%
Likely No
96% agreement
Apr 30, 2026
IG: 0.60

Will MongoDB's diluted share count decline quarter-over-quarter in any quarter during FY2027?

Active
14%
Likely No
96% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.48

Will MongoDB's non-GAAP gross margin fall below 72% in any quarter during H1 FY2027?

Active
19%
Likely No
94% agreement
Sep 15, 2026
IG: 0.48

Resolution Timeline

Mar 15, 2026
Will MongoDB's Q4 FY2026 Atlas revenue growth decelerate below 25% year-over-year?
Prediction: 20%
Mar 15, 2026
Will MongoDB's initial FY2027 full-year revenue guidance imply growth of 20% or above?
Prediction: 52%
Apr 15, 2026
Will MongoDB's full-year FY2026 stock-based compensation exceed 50% of total revenue?
Prediction: 76%
Apr 30, 2026
Will MongoDB's FY2026 10-K filing contain any auditor emphasis-of-matter paragraph, accounting policy change, or auditor change?
Prediction: 18%
Sep 15, 2026
Will MongoDB provide a specific quantification of AI workload revenue contribution by Q2 FY2027 earnings?
Prediction: 25%
Sep 15, 2026
Will MongoDB's net ARR expansion rate fall below 115% in any quarter reported during H1 FY2027?
Prediction: 15%
Sep 15, 2026
Will MongoDB's non-GAAP gross margin fall below 72% in any quarter during H1 FY2027?
Prediction: 19%
Mar 15, 2027
Will MongoDB's diluted share count decline quarter-over-quarter in any quarter during FY2027?
Prediction: 14%
Jan 15, 2028
Will Databricks or Snowflake launch a generally available managed PostgreSQL document database service by end of calendar 2027?
Prediction: 55%