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MDB Forecast Markets
MongoDB, Inc.
8
Active Markets
3
Resolved
35%
Avg Probability
All Markets
13 markets
Will MongoDB provide a specific quantification of AI workload revenue contribution by Q2 FY2027 earnings?
19%
Likely No
25%19%after Q4 FY2026 earnings update
91% agreement
Sep 15, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will Databricks or Snowflake launch a generally available managed PostgreSQL document database service by end of calendar 2027?
54%
Likely Yes
55%54%after Q4 FY2026 earnings update
84% agreement
Jan 15, 2028
IG: 0.64
Will MongoDB's net ARR expansion rate fall below 115% in any quarter reported during H1 FY2027?
12%
Likely No
15%12%after Q4 FY2026 earnings update
90% agreement
Sep 15, 2026
IG: 0.60
Will MongoDB's Q1 FY2027 Atlas revenue growth decelerate below 21% year-over-year?
20%
Likely No
80% agreement
Jun 15, 2026
IG: 0.60
Will MongoDB's non-GAAP gross margin fall below 72% in any quarter during H1 FY2027?
17%
Likely No
19%17%after Q4 FY2026 earnings update
90% agreement
Sep 15, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will MongoDB's diluted share count decline quarter-over-quarter in any quarter during FY2027?
47%
Likely No
79% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will the Baxter v. MongoDB securities class action produce a material development by September 30, 2026?
83%
Likely Yes
87% agreement
Oct 1, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will MongoDB's Q1 FY2027 total revenue fall below the low end of management's implied quarterly guidance?
9%
Likely No
90% agreement
Jun 15, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will MongoDB's Q4 FY2026 Atlas revenue growth decelerate below 25% year-over-year?
20%
Likely No
Actual: NO
Brier: 0.040Mar 2, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will MongoDB's initial FY2027 full-year revenue guidance imply growth of 20% or above?
52%
Likely Yes
Actual: NO
Brier: 0.270Mar 2, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will MongoDB's FY2026 10-K filing contain any auditor emphasis-of-matter paragraph, accounting policy change, or auditor change?
14%
Likely No
Actual: NO
Brier: 0.020Mar 15, 2026
IG: 0.60
Will MongoDB's full-year FY2026 stock-based compensation exceed 50% of total revenue?
71%
Likely Yes
76%71%after Q4 FY2026 earnings update
89% agreement
Apr 15, 2026
IG: 0.60
Will MongoDB's diluted share count decline quarter-over-quarter in any quarter during FY2027?
35%
Likely No
14%35%after Q4 FY2026 earnings update
84% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.48
Resolution Timeline
Mar 15, 2026RESOLVED
Will MongoDB's Q4 FY2026 Atlas revenue growth decelerate below 25% year-over-year? NOBrier: 0.04
Mar 15, 2026RESOLVED
Will MongoDB's initial FY2027 full-year revenue guidance imply growth of 20% or above? NOBrier: 0.27
Apr 15, 2026
Will MongoDB's full-year FY2026 stock-based compensation exceed 50% of total revenue?Prediction: 71%
Apr 30, 2026RESOLVED
Will MongoDB's FY2026 10-K filing contain any auditor emphasis-of-matter paragraph, accounting policy change, or auditor change? NOBrier: 0.02
Jun 15, 2026
Will MongoDB's Q1 FY2027 Atlas revenue growth decelerate below 21% year-over-year?Prediction: 20%
Sep 15, 2026
Will MongoDB provide a specific quantification of AI workload revenue contribution by Q2 FY2027 earnings?Prediction: 19%
Sep 15, 2026
Will MongoDB's net ARR expansion rate fall below 115% in any quarter reported during H1 FY2027?Prediction: 12%
Sep 15, 2026
Will MongoDB's non-GAAP gross margin fall below 72% in any quarter during H1 FY2027?Prediction: 17%
Oct 1, 2026
Will the Baxter v. MongoDB securities class action produce a material development by September 30, 2026?Prediction: 83%
Mar 15, 2027
Will MongoDB's diluted share count decline quarter-over-quarter in any quarter during FY2027?Prediction: 47%
Mar 15, 2027
Will MongoDB's diluted share count decline quarter-over-quarter in any quarter during FY2027?Prediction: 35%