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PYPL Forecast Markets
PayPal Holdings, Inc.
7
Active Markets
35%
Avg Probability
All Markets
7 markets
Will PayPal's branded checkout TPV growth fall below +2% currency-neutral in Q1 2026?
79%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
May 15, 2026
IG: 1.00
Will PayPal's new CEO issue FY2026 EPS guidance below the prior $4.95 floor at Q1 2026 earnings?
65%
Likely Yes
92% agreement
May 15, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will the UK FCA publish final BNPL regulatory rules by December 31, 2026?
48%
Likely No
91% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will PayPal's consumer loan net charge-off rate exceed 7% in any quarter of FY2026?
11%
Likely No
96% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will PayPal's operating cash flow to net income ratio (adjusted for loan sale timing) fall below 1.2x for FY2026?
10%
Likely No
97% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by 75bp or more (cumulative) by December 31, 2026?
30%
Likely No
94% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will PayPal's net debt to EBITDA ratio exceed 1.5x in any two consecutive quarters of FY2026?
3%
Likely No
99% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.48
Resolution Timeline
May 15, 2026
Will PayPal's branded checkout TPV growth fall below +2% currency-neutral in Q1 2026?Prediction: 79%
May 15, 2026
Will PayPal's new CEO issue FY2026 EPS guidance below the prior $4.95 floor at Q1 2026 earnings?Prediction: 65%
Jan 15, 2027
Will the UK FCA publish final BNPL regulatory rules by December 31, 2026?Prediction: 48%
Jan 15, 2027
Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by 75bp or more (cumulative) by December 31, 2026?Prediction: 30%
Mar 15, 2027
Will PayPal's consumer loan net charge-off rate exceed 7% in any quarter of FY2026?Prediction: 11%
Mar 15, 2027
Will PayPal's net debt to EBITDA ratio exceed 1.5x in any two consecutive quarters of FY2026?Prediction: 3%