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RIVN Forecast Markets
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
8
Active Markets
61%
Avg Probability
All Markets
8 markets
Will Rivian deliver R2 vehicles to customers by June 30, 2026?
80%
Likely Yes
92% agreement
Jul 15, 2026
IG: 0.00
Will Rivian deliver at least 62,000 total vehicles in FY2026?
42%
Likely No
78% agreement
Feb 15, 2027
IG: 0.00
Will VW complete winter testing milestone and trigger the $1B equity investment by June 30, 2026?
72%
Likely Yes
88% agreement
Jul 15, 2026
IG: 0.00
Will Rivian report positive automotive segment gross profit in Q4 2026?
35%
Likely No
72% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.00
Will Rivian end FY2026 with at least $4B in cash, equivalents, and short-term investments?
65%
Likely Yes
85% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.00
Will Rivian's quarterly regulatory credit revenue fall below $50M in Q2 2026?
55%
Likely Yes
70% agreement
Aug 31, 2026
IG: 0.00
Will Rivian confirm the second R2 production shift is operational by December 31, 2026?
68%
Likely Yes
88% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.00
Will Rivian's Software & Services segment revenue grow at least 50% YoY in FY2026?
70%
Likely Yes
90% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.00
Resolution Timeline
Jul 15, 2026
Will VW complete winter testing milestone and trigger the $1B equity investment by June 30, 2026?Prediction: 72%
Aug 31, 2026
Will Rivian's quarterly regulatory credit revenue fall below $50M in Q2 2026?Prediction: 55%
Feb 28, 2027
Will Rivian end FY2026 with at least $4B in cash, equivalents, and short-term investments?Prediction: 65%
Feb 28, 2027
Will Rivian confirm the second R2 production shift is operational by December 31, 2026?Prediction: 68%
Feb 28, 2027
Will Rivian's Software & Services segment revenue grow at least 50% YoY in FY2026?Prediction: 70%