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W Forecast Markets
Wayfair Inc.
7
Active Markets
33%
Avg Probability
All Markets
7 markets
Will Wayfair achieve FY2026 net revenue growth at or above 10% YoY?
30%
Likely No
96% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will Wayfair report positive GAAP net income in any quarter of H2 2026?
22%
Likely No
95% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will the US home furnishings category return to positive YoY growth for two consecutive quarters in 2026?
36%
Likely No
95% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will Wayfair sustain contribution margin at or above 15% through Q2 2026?
50%
Likely No
92% agreement
Aug 31, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will Wayfair Rewards first-year cohort renewal rate exceed 70%?
29%
Likely No
94% agreement
Dec 31, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will Wayfair generate free cash flow above $400M in FY2026?
46%
Likely No
94% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will co-founder insider selling pace decline below $15M/month average in H1 2026?
20%
Likely No
95% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.48
Resolution Timeline
Aug 15, 2026
Will co-founder insider selling pace decline below $15M/month average in H1 2026?Prediction: 20%
Aug 31, 2026
Will Wayfair sustain contribution margin at or above 15% through Q2 2026?Prediction: 50%
Jan 31, 2027
Will the US home furnishings category return to positive YoY growth for two consecutive quarters in 2026?Prediction: 36%