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CAVA Forecast Markets

CAVA Group, Inc.

7
Active Markets
62%
Avg Probability
Price Above Value
Apr 8, 2026

Our prediction ensemble identifies elevated risk at current levels.

7 markets analyzedConfidence: MEDIUM
Read Full Thesis

All Markets

7 markets

Will CAVA report full-year FY2026 same-restaurant sales growth of 3% or above?

Active
62%
Likely Yes
96% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.80

Will CAVA open 74 or more net new restaurants in FY2026?

Active
65%
Likely Yes
96% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.64

Will CAVA achieve full-year FY2026 restaurant-level profit margin above 23%?

Active
58%
Likely Yes
96% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.64

Will CAVA's FY2026 new restaurant opening class maintain NRO productivity above 90%?

Active
65%
Likely Yes
96% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.64

Will no major restaurant chain announce a dedicated Mediterranean fast-casual concept in 2026?

Active
72%
Likely Yes
96% agreement
Dec 31, 2026
IG: 0.48

Will CAVA report FY2026 adjusted EBITDA above $160 million?

Active
55%
Likely Yes
96% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.48

Will CAVA's brand awareness exceed 65% by mid-2026?

Active
58%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Aug 31, 2026
IG: 0.48

Resolution Timeline

Aug 31, 2026
Will CAVA's brand awareness exceed 65% by mid-2026?
Prediction: 58%
Dec 31, 2026
Will no major restaurant chain announce a dedicated Mediterranean fast-casual concept in 2026?
Prediction: 72%
Feb 28, 2027
Will CAVA report full-year FY2026 same-restaurant sales growth of 3% or above?
Prediction: 62%
Feb 28, 2027
Will CAVA open 74 or more net new restaurants in FY2026?
Prediction: 65%
Feb 28, 2027
Will CAVA achieve full-year FY2026 restaurant-level profit margin above 23%?
Prediction: 58%
Feb 28, 2027
Will CAVA's FY2026 new restaurant opening class maintain NRO productivity above 90%?
Prediction: 65%
Feb 28, 2027
Will CAVA report FY2026 adjusted EBITDA above $160 million?
Prediction: 55%