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DDOG Forecast Markets

Datadog, Inc.

8
Active Markets
3
Resolved
28%
Avg Probability
Price Below Value
Feb 10, 2026

Our prediction ensemble suggests potential upside from current levels.

5 markets analyzedConfidence: HIGH
Read Full Thesis

All Markets

11 markets

Will any Datadog executive officer make an open market stock purchase within 90 days after the Q4 2025 earnings release?

Active
6%
Likely No
99% agreement
May 12, 2026
IG: 0.64

Will Datadog raise FY2026 full-year revenue guidance to imply growth of 22% or above at the Q1 2026 earnings call?

Active
58%
Likely Yes
91% agreement
May 12, 2026
IG: 0.64

Will Datadog's AI-native customer cohort exceed 20% of total ARR in any quarter reported by H1 2026?

Active
15%
Likely No
96% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.64

Will Datadog's percentage of customers using 4+ products decline below 52% in any quarter reported by H1 2026?

Active
3%
Likely No
6%3%after Q4 2025 earnings
99% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.60

Will Datadog's Q1 2026 year-over-year revenue growth rate sustain above 25%?

Active
75%
Likely Yes
93% agreement
May 12, 2026
IG: 0.60

Will Datadog's dollar-based net retention rate fall below 115% in any quarter reported by H1 2026?

Active
7%
Likely No
12%7%after Q4 2025 earnings
88% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.48

Will Datadog's non-AI customer usage growth revert below 18% YoY in any quarter reported by H1 2026?

Active
10%
Likely No
23%10%after Q4 2025 earnings
96% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.48

Will Datadog's percentage of customers using 8+ products reach or exceed 20% in Q1 2026?

Active
44%
Likely No
94% agreement
May 12, 2026
IG: 0.48

Will Datadog's Q4 2025 year-over-year revenue growth rate fall below 25%?

Resolved
38%
Likely No
Actual: NO
Brier: 0.144
Feb 10, 2026
IG: 0.80

Will Datadog disclose or confirm that a single customer represents more than 5% of total revenue in Q4 2025 earnings or Investor Day?

Resolved
8%
Likely No
Actual: NO
Brier: 0.006
Feb 18, 2026
IG: 0.80

Will Datadog's initial FY2026 full-year revenue guidance imply growth of 22% or above?

Resolved
42%
Likely No
Actual: NO
Brier: 0.176
Feb 10, 2026
IG: 0.64

Resolution Timeline

Feb 11, 2026RESOLVED
Will Datadog's Q4 2025 year-over-year revenue growth rate fall below 25%?
NOBrier: 0.14
Feb 11, 2026RESOLVED
Will Datadog's initial FY2026 full-year revenue guidance imply growth of 22% or above?
NOBrier: 0.18
Feb 13, 2026RESOLVED
Will Datadog disclose or confirm that a single customer represents more than 5% of total revenue in Q4 2025 earnings or Investor Day?
NOBrier: 0.01
May 12, 2026
Will any Datadog executive officer make an open market stock purchase within 90 days after the Q4 2025 earnings release?
Prediction: 6%
May 12, 2026
Will Datadog raise FY2026 full-year revenue guidance to imply growth of 22% or above at the Q1 2026 earnings call?
Prediction: 58%
May 12, 2026
Will Datadog's Q1 2026 year-over-year revenue growth rate sustain above 25%?
Prediction: 75%
May 12, 2026
Will Datadog's percentage of customers using 8+ products reach or exceed 20% in Q1 2026?
Prediction: 44%
Aug 15, 2026
Will Datadog's AI-native customer cohort exceed 20% of total ARR in any quarter reported by H1 2026?
Prediction: 15%
Aug 15, 2026
Will Datadog's percentage of customers using 4+ products decline below 52% in any quarter reported by H1 2026?
Prediction: 3%
Aug 15, 2026
Will Datadog's dollar-based net retention rate fall below 115% in any quarter reported by H1 2026?
Prediction: 7%
Aug 15, 2026
Will Datadog's non-AI customer usage growth revert below 18% YoY in any quarter reported by H1 2026?
Prediction: 10%