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DE Forecast Markets
Deere & Company
7
Active Markets
1
Resolved
31%
Avg Probability
All Markets
8 markets
Will the FTC reach a consent decree or settlement with Deere on right-to-repair by December 31, 2026?
32%
Likely No
96% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 1.00
Will Deere report FY2026 net income below $4.0 billion (the low end of current guidance)?
9%
Likely No
28%9%after Q1 FY2026 Earnings
96% agreement
Dec 15, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will Deere Financial Services 30+ day delinquency rates increase by more than 25% from Q4 FY2025 levels by Q3 FY2026?
13%
Likely No
22%13%after Q1 FY2026 earnings — FS credit quality explicitly improving
97% agreement
Sep 30, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will any major credit rating agency place Deere on negative outlook or downgrade its senior unsecured rating by December 31, 2026?
10%
Likely No
17%10%after Q1 FY2026 Earnings
97% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will large agricultural equipment (>100 HP tractor) used pricing indices decline more than 10% from February 2026 levels by August 2026?
13%
Likely No
22%13%after Q1 FY2026 Earnings
97% agreement
Sep 15, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will three or more additional US states enact agricultural right-to-repair legislation by December 31, 2026?
18%
Likely No
96% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will Deere increase its quarterly dividend per share at any point during FY2026 (November 2025 through October 2026)?
87%
Likely Yes
78%87%after Q1 FY2026 Earnings
96% agreement
Nov 15, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will Deere report precision agriculture technology adoption or engagement metrics showing growth acceleration in any FY2026 earnings disclosure?
68%
Likely Yes
Actual: YES
Feb 19, 2026
IG: 0.64
Resolution Timeline
Dec 15, 2026
Will Deere report FY2026 net income below $4.0 billion (the low end of current guidance)?Prediction: 9%
Jan 31, 2027
Will the FTC reach a consent decree or settlement with Deere on right-to-repair by December 31, 2026?Prediction: 32%
Jan 31, 2027
Will three or more additional US states enact agricultural right-to-repair legislation by December 31, 2026?Prediction: 18%