Archived research. Equity forecasting is part of the Runchey Research archive (methodology era 1) and is no longer actively updated. Everything remains published at its original URL. Browse the archive
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OKLO Forecast Markets
Oklo Inc.
7
Active Markets
33%
Avg Probability
All Markets
7 markets
Will the NRC formally accept Oklo's Aurora COLA for review by December 31, 2026?
40%
Likely No
94% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will Oklo announce a binding PPA with specific $/MWh pricing by December 31, 2026?
14%
Likely No
94% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.72
Will Oklo's FY2025 total operating expenses exceed $100M?
55%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Apr 30, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will Oklo receive DOE authorization for INL site operations by December 31, 2026?
25%
Likely No
94% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.60
Will Oklo's cumulative ATM equity facility utilization exceed $500M by December 31, 2026?
30%
Likely No
94% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.56
Will NuScale Power announce a firm commercial reactor deployment date (with site and customer) by June 30, 2027?
35%
Likely No
94% agreement
Jul 31, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will OKLO stock close above $90 per share on any trading day before December 31, 2026?
30%
Likely No
94% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.40
Resolution Timeline
Jan 15, 2027
Will OKLO stock close above $90 per share on any trading day before December 31, 2026?Prediction: 30%
Jan 31, 2027
Will the NRC formally accept Oklo's Aurora COLA for review by December 31, 2026?Prediction: 40%
Jan 31, 2027
Will Oklo announce a binding PPA with specific $/MWh pricing by December 31, 2026?Prediction: 14%
Jan 31, 2027
Will Oklo receive DOE authorization for INL site operations by December 31, 2026?Prediction: 25%
Feb 28, 2027
Will Oklo's cumulative ATM equity facility utilization exceed $500M by December 31, 2026?Prediction: 30%