Back to Forecasting
BRK.B Forecast Markets
Berkshire Hathaway Inc.
9
Active Markets
21%
Avg Probability
All Markets
9 markets
Will PacifiCorp's credit rating be downgraded below investment grade (BB+ or lower) by any major agency by year-end 2026?
20%
Likely No
94% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will Berkshire Hathaway announce or close a major acquisition (>$10B enterprise value) under Greg Abel's leadership by year-end 2026?
23%
Likely No
94% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will Greg Abel's Form 3 or DEF 14A filing reveal BRK holdings exceeding $50M in value by mid-2026?
36%
Likely No
93% agreement
Jul 15, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will cumulative PacifiCorp wildfire jury verdicts exceed $2B by year-end 2026?
20%
Likely No
94% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will Greg Abel's first shareholder letter (expected ~Feb 28, 2026) announce a specific capital allocation initiative (buyback resumption, acquisition pipeline, or dividend)?
15%
Likely No
96% agreement
Apr 1, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will GEICO's combined ratio exceed 95% in any reported quarter during 2026?
8%
Likely No
97% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.60
Will Berkshire Hathaway report >$5B in catastrophe losses from California wildfires in any 2026 reporting period?
16%
Likely No
94% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.60
Will Berkshire Hathaway resume share buybacks (>$1B in any quarter) by Q3 2026?
23%
Likely No
91% agreement
Nov 15, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will Ajit Jain file Form 4 disclosing additional discretionary BRK share sales in H1 2026?
27%
Likely No
94% agreement
Jul 15, 2026
IG: 0.48
Resolution Timeline
Jul 15, 2026
Will Greg Abel's Form 3 or DEF 14A filing reveal BRK holdings exceeding $50M in value by mid-2026?Prediction: 36%
Jul 15, 2026
Will Ajit Jain file Form 4 disclosing additional discretionary BRK share sales in H1 2026?Prediction: 27%
Nov 15, 2026
Will Berkshire Hathaway resume share buybacks (>$1B in any quarter) by Q3 2026?Prediction: 23%
Mar 15, 2027
Will cumulative PacifiCorp wildfire jury verdicts exceed $2B by year-end 2026?Prediction: 20%
Mar 15, 2027
Will GEICO's combined ratio exceed 95% in any reported quarter during 2026?Prediction: 8%