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NFLX Forecast Markets
Netflix, Inc.
7
Active Markets
42%
Avg Probability
All Markets
7 markets
Will the DOJ file suit to block the Netflix-WBD merger by December 31, 2026?
57%
Likely Yes
91% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 1.00
Will Netflix abandon or withdraw the WBD acquisition by December 31, 2026?
28%
Likely No
92% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will Netflix and DOJ announce consent decree negotiations for the WBD deal by June 30, 2026?
20%
Likely No
94% agreement
Jul 15, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will Netflix's advertising revenue reach a $3B annualized run-rate by Q3 2026?
62%
Likely Yes
69% agreement
Nov 15, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will Netflix disclose permanent financing terms for the WBD acquisition by June 30, 2026?
35%
Likely No
84% agreement
Jul 15, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will the EU Commission open a Phase II investigation into the Netflix-WBD merger by September 30, 2026?
37%
Likely No
92% agreement
Oct 15, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will Netflix report Q1 2026 revenue above $12.5B?
53%
Likely Yes
91% agreement
May 15, 2026
IG: 0.48
Resolution Timeline
Jul 15, 2026
Will Netflix and DOJ announce consent decree negotiations for the WBD deal by June 30, 2026?Prediction: 20%
Jul 15, 2026
Will Netflix disclose permanent financing terms for the WBD acquisition by June 30, 2026?Prediction: 35%
Oct 15, 2026
Will the EU Commission open a Phase II investigation into the Netflix-WBD merger by September 30, 2026?Prediction: 37%
Nov 15, 2026
Will Netflix's advertising revenue reach a $3B annualized run-rate by Q3 2026?Prediction: 62%
Jan 15, 2027
Will the DOJ file suit to block the Netflix-WBD merger by December 31, 2026?Prediction: 57%
Jan 15, 2027
Will Netflix abandon or withdraw the WBD acquisition by December 31, 2026?Prediction: 28%