RuncheyResearch
Back to Forecasting

NGD Forecast Markets

New Gold Inc.

6
Active Markets
2
Resolved
55%
Avg Probability
Price Below Value
Apr 28, 2026

Our prediction ensemble suggests potential upside from current levels.

7 markets analyzedConfidence: MEDIUM
Read Full Thesis

All Markets

10 markets

Will gold prices trade below $2,500/oz for 30+ consecutive trading days before year-end 2026?

Active
8%
Likely No
96% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.80

Will New Afton C-Zone achieve 12,000+ tonnes per day processing rate by Q2 2026?

Active
60%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.64

Will New Gold announce a tailings storage capacity solution for Rainy River by year-end 2026?

Active
55%
Likely Yes
95% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.48

Will Coeur's Q1 2026 earnings release disclose per-mine AISC for both Rainy River and New Afton?

Active
75%
Likely Yes
95% agreement
May 15, 2026
IG: 0.48

Will the former New Gold assets (Rainy River + New Afton) report AISC below $900/oz in any quarter of H1 2026 under Coeur reporting?

Active
52%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Aug 31, 2026
IG: 0.48

Will Coeur announce a capital allocation decision (approve, defer, or scope-change) for the Rainy River TSF expansion or K-Zone development by year-end 2026?

Active
74%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.48

Will the Coeur Mining-New Gold merger close by June 30, 2026?

Resolved
82%
Likely Yes
Actual: YES
Brier: 0.032
Apr 29, 2026
IG: 0.60

Will New Gold (or the combined Coeur entity) announce a K-Zone maiden mineral resource by year-end 2026?

Resolved
52%
Likely Yes
Actual: YES
Brier: 0.230
Apr 29, 2026
IG: 0.48

Will NGD stock recover to within 10% of its pre-drop gold-relative valuation by June 2026?

40%
Likely No
93% agreement
Jul 15, 2026
IG: 0.80

Will New Gold's consolidated AISC fall below $900/oz in any reported quarter of H1 2026?

56%
Likely Yes
93% agreement
Aug 31, 2026
IG: 0.48

Resolution Timeline

May 15, 2026
Will Coeur's Q1 2026 earnings release disclose per-mine AISC for both Rainy River and New Afton?
Prediction: 75%
Jul 15, 2026RESOLVED
Will the Coeur Mining-New Gold merger close by June 30, 2026?
YESBrier: 0.03
Jul 15, 2026
Will NGD stock recover to within 10% of its pre-drop gold-relative valuation by June 2026?
Prediction: 40%
Aug 15, 2026
Will New Afton C-Zone achieve 12,000+ tonnes per day processing rate by Q2 2026?
Prediction: 60%
Aug 31, 2026
Will the former New Gold assets (Rainy River + New Afton) report AISC below $900/oz in any quarter of H1 2026 under Coeur reporting?
Prediction: 52%
Aug 31, 2026
Will New Gold's consolidated AISC fall below $900/oz in any reported quarter of H1 2026?
Prediction: 56%
Jan 15, 2027
Will gold prices trade below $2,500/oz for 30+ consecutive trading days before year-end 2026?
Prediction: 8%
Jan 31, 2027
Will New Gold announce a tailings storage capacity solution for Rainy River by year-end 2026?
Prediction: 55%
Jan 31, 2027
Will Coeur announce a capital allocation decision (approve, defer, or scope-change) for the Rainy River TSF expansion or K-Zone development by year-end 2026?
Prediction: 74%
Jan 31, 2027RESOLVED
Will New Gold (or the combined Coeur entity) announce a K-Zone maiden mineral resource by year-end 2026?
YESBrier: 0.23