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SQM Forecast Markets

Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile S.A.

7
Active Markets
38%
Avg Probability
Price Above Value
Apr 8, 2026

Our prediction ensemble identifies elevated risk at current levels.

7 markets analyzedConfidence: MEDIUM
Read Full Thesis

All Markets

7 markets

Will SQM's average realized lithium price exceed $14/kg in H2 2026?

Active
32%
Likely No
97% agreement
Mar 31, 2027
IG: 0.80

Will SQM achieve FY2026 EPS above $2.00?

Active
38%
Likely No
96% agreement
Mar 31, 2027
IG: 0.80

Will Tianqi Lithium's ownership of SQM fall below 18% by year-end 2026?

Active
32%
Likely No
96% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.64

Will SQM's iodine segment gross margin remain above 50% for FY2026?

Active
72%
Likely Yes
96% agreement
Mar 31, 2027
IG: 0.64

Will sodium-ion batteries capture more than 10% of new global ESS installations by year-end 2026?

Active
10%
Likely No
98% agreement
Mar 31, 2027
IG: 0.64

Will SQM report Q2 2026 total revenue above $1.3 billion?

Active
35%
Likely No
96% agreement
Aug 31, 2026
IG: 0.48

Will SQM submit the Salar Futuro environmental impact study by year-end 2026?

Active
48%
Likely No
96% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.48

Resolution Timeline

Aug 31, 2026
Will SQM report Q2 2026 total revenue above $1.3 billion?
Prediction: 35%
Jan 31, 2027
Will Tianqi Lithium's ownership of SQM fall below 18% by year-end 2026?
Prediction: 32%
Jan 31, 2027
Will SQM submit the Salar Futuro environmental impact study by year-end 2026?
Prediction: 48%
Mar 31, 2027
Will SQM's average realized lithium price exceed $14/kg in H2 2026?
Prediction: 32%
Mar 31, 2027
Will SQM achieve FY2026 EPS above $2.00?
Prediction: 38%
Mar 31, 2027
Will SQM's iodine segment gross margin remain above 50% for FY2026?
Prediction: 72%
Mar 31, 2027
Will sodium-ion batteries capture more than 10% of new global ESS installations by year-end 2026?
Prediction: 10%