RuncheyResearch

Archived research. Equity forecasting is part of the Runchey Research archive (methodology era 1) and is no longer actively updated. Everything remains published at its original URL. Browse the archive

Back to Forecasting

UAMY Forecast Markets

United States Antimony Corporation

8
Active Markets
3
Resolved
53%
Avg Probability
Price Above Value
Mar 19, 2026

Our prediction ensemble identifies elevated risk at current levels.

6 markets analyzedConfidence: MEDIUM-HIGH
Read Full Thesis

All Markets

11 markets

Will Thompson Falls expansion be operational by June 30, 2026?

Active
52%
Likely Yes
72% agreement
Jul 15, 2026
IG: 0.80

Will UAMY's Q1 2026 revenue exceed $25M?

Active
38%
Likely No
71% agreement
Jun 15, 2026
IG: 0.68

Will UAMY report positive operating cash flow in any quarter of FY2026?

Active
45%
Likely No
69% agreement
Apr 30, 2027
IG: 0.64

Will UAMY reduce $125M 2026 guidance by mid-year 2026?

Active
38%
Likely No
74% agreement
Jul 31, 2026
IG: 0.60

Will UAMY's market cap exceed $1B on December 31, 2026?

Active
42%
Likely No
66% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.60

Will antimony spot price remain above $20/lb through Q2 2026?

Active
52%
Likely Yes
68% agreement
Jul 1, 2026
IG: 0.56

Will Perpetua Resources begin Stibnite Gold Project construction before July 2027?

Active
58%
Likely Yes
65% agreement
Jul 1, 2027
IG: 0.48

Will UAMY complete first physical DLA contract delivery by June 30, 2026?

Active
72%
Likely Yes
81% agreement
Jul 15, 2026
IG: 0.48

Will UAMY's FY2025 revenue meet or exceed the $40M guidance floor?

Resolved
62%
Likely Yes
Actual: NO
Brier: 0.384
Mar 19, 2026
IG: 0.80

Will UAMY maintain $125M FY2026 revenue guidance on the FY2025 earnings call?

Resolved
70%
Likely Yes
Actual: YES
Brier: 0.090
Mar 19, 2026
IG: 0.72

Will UAMY's Montana Thompson Falls expansion be fully operational by Q1 2026?

Resolved
55%
Likely Yes
Actual: NO
Brier: 0.302
Mar 19, 2026
IG: 0.64

Resolution Timeline

Mar 20, 2026RESOLVED
Will UAMY maintain $125M FY2026 revenue guidance on the FY2025 earnings call?
YESBrier: 0.09
Apr 15, 2026RESOLVED
Will UAMY's FY2025 revenue meet or exceed the $40M guidance floor?
NOBrier: 0.38
Jun 15, 2026
Will UAMY's Q1 2026 revenue exceed $25M?
Prediction: 38%
Jun 30, 2026RESOLVED
Will UAMY's Montana Thompson Falls expansion be fully operational by Q1 2026?
NOBrier: 0.30
Jul 1, 2026
Will antimony spot price remain above $20/lb through Q2 2026?
Prediction: 52%
Jul 15, 2026
Will Thompson Falls expansion be operational by June 30, 2026?
Prediction: 52%
Jul 15, 2026
Will UAMY complete first physical DLA contract delivery by June 30, 2026?
Prediction: 72%
Jul 31, 2026
Will UAMY reduce $125M 2026 guidance by mid-year 2026?
Prediction: 38%
Jan 15, 2027
Will UAMY's market cap exceed $1B on December 31, 2026?
Prediction: 42%
Apr 30, 2027
Will UAMY report positive operating cash flow in any quarter of FY2026?
Prediction: 45%
Jul 1, 2027
Will Perpetua Resources begin Stibnite Gold Project construction before July 2027?
Prediction: 58%