Archived research. Equity forecasting is part of the Runchey Research archive (methodology era 1) and is no longer actively updated. Everything remains published at its original URL. Browse the archive
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JOBY Forecast Markets
Joby Aviation
6
Active Markets
41%
Avg Probability
All Markets
6 markets
Will Joby begin FAA TIA (Stage 5) flight testing by December 31, 2026?
55%
Likely Yes
72% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will Joby's quarterly cash burn exceed $200M in any quarter of H1 2026?
38%
Likely No
78% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.72
Will Joby carry its first paying passenger (any market) by December 31, 2026?
42%
Likely No
65% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.68
Will Joby's FY2026 total revenue exceed $120M?
62%
Likely Yes
82% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.56
Will Joby announce an additional equity or convertible debt offering in 2026?
30%
Likely No
75% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.52
Will a regulatory or customs investigation be opened against Joby related to the Archer allegations by December 31, 2026?
18%
Likely No
85% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.48
Resolution Timeline
Jan 31, 2027
Will Joby carry its first paying passenger (any market) by December 31, 2026?Prediction: 42%
Jan 31, 2027
Will Joby announce an additional equity or convertible debt offering in 2026?Prediction: 30%