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MBLY Forecast Markets

Mobileye Global Inc.

7
Active Markets
1
Resolved
40%
Avg Probability
Insufficient Data
Apr 23, 2026

More prediction data is needed to form a complete assessment.

7 markets analyzedConfidence: MEDIUM
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All Markets

8 markets

Will Mobileye's FY2026 revenue exceed $2.0 billion?

Active
42%
Likely No
35%42%after Q1 2026 earnings beat and raise
82% agreement
Mar 31, 2027
IG: 0.00

Will a top-10 OEM switch from Mobileye to NVIDIA/Qualcomm by end of 2026?

Active
11%
Likely No
18%11%after Q1 2026 earnings — VW reaffirmation and Surround ADAS expansion
91% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.00

Will Intel sell additional Mobileye shares by end of 2026?

Active
58%
Likely Yes
55%58%after Q1 2026 earnings — no Intel action disclosed but stock weakness persists
80% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.00

Will Mentee Robotics achieve a tangible milestone by end of 2026?

Active
48%
Likely No
42%48%after Q1 2026 earnings — Mentee version 3.2 arriving, version 4 by late 2026, AI Day in July
76% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.00

Will SuperVision begin production with Porsche/Audi by Q2 2027?

Active
38%
Likely No
62%38%after Q1 2026 earnings — Porsche SOP now explicitly guided to H2 2027
82% agreement
Jul 31, 2027
IG: 0.00

Will China implement formal restrictions on foreign ADAS software by end of 2026?

Active
22%
Likely No
25%22%after Q1 2026 earnings — no new restrictions, Chinese OEM export volumes growing
82% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.00

Will Mobileye's FY2026 adjusted operating margin exceed 15%?

Active
28%
Likely No
38%28%after Q1 2026 earnings — FY adj op income guide implies 10.6% midpoint
83% agreement
Mar 31, 2027
IG: 0.00

Will Mobileye's Q1 2026 revenue exceed $530M (>15% YoY)?

Resolved
72%
Likely Yes
Actual: YES
Brier: 0.078
Apr 23, 2026
IG: 0.00

Resolution Timeline

Jun 30, 2026RESOLVED
Will Mobileye's Q1 2026 revenue exceed $530M (>15% YoY)?
YESBrier: 0.08
Jan 31, 2027
Will a top-10 OEM switch from Mobileye to NVIDIA/Qualcomm by end of 2026?
Prediction: 11%
Jan 31, 2027
Will Intel sell additional Mobileye shares by end of 2026?
Prediction: 58%
Jan 31, 2027
Will Mentee Robotics achieve a tangible milestone by end of 2026?
Prediction: 48%
Jan 31, 2027
Will China implement formal restrictions on foreign ADAS software by end of 2026?
Prediction: 22%
Mar 31, 2027
Will Mobileye's FY2026 revenue exceed $2.0 billion?
Prediction: 42%
Mar 31, 2027
Will Mobileye's FY2026 adjusted operating margin exceed 15%?
Prediction: 28%
Jul 31, 2027
Will SuperVision begin production with Porsche/Audi by Q2 2027?
Prediction: 38%