Archived research. Equity forecasting is part of the Runchey Research archive (methodology era 1) and is no longer actively updated. Everything remains published at its original URL. Browse the archive
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AAPL Forecast Markets
Apple Inc.
7
Active Markets
23%
Avg Probability
All Markets
7 markets
Will the DOJ v. Apple antitrust trial produce an adverse ruling for Apple by year-end 2026?
24%
Likely No
78% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.90
Will Apple's iPhone revenue fall below $60B in Q2 FY2026 (March quarter)?
33%
Likely No
82% agreement
May 15, 2026
IG: 0.75
Will Apple's Services revenue growth fall below 10% YoY in any quarter through Q4 FY2026?
16%
Likely No
88% agreement
Nov 15, 2026
IG: 0.72
Will Google's antitrust remedy restrict default search placement deals (threatening Apple's ~$20B+ revenue) by end of 2026?
40%
Likely No
75% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.70
Will Apple's Greater China revenue decline more than 10% YoY in any quarter through Q4 FY2026?
12%
Likely No
85% agreement
Nov 15, 2026
IG: 0.68
Will the European Commission fine Apple more than $1B under the Digital Markets Act by end of 2026?
33%
Likely No
80% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.65
Will Apple's gross margin fall below 46% in any quarter through Q4 FY2026?
2%
Likely No
92% agreement
Nov 15, 2026
IG: 0.60
Resolution Timeline
May 15, 2026
Will Apple's iPhone revenue fall below $60B in Q2 FY2026 (March quarter)?Prediction: 33%
Nov 15, 2026
Will Apple's Services revenue growth fall below 10% YoY in any quarter through Q4 FY2026?Prediction: 16%
Nov 15, 2026
Will Apple's Greater China revenue decline more than 10% YoY in any quarter through Q4 FY2026?Prediction: 12%
Nov 15, 2026
Will Apple's gross margin fall below 46% in any quarter through Q4 FY2026?Prediction: 2%
Jan 15, 2027
Will the DOJ v. Apple antitrust trial produce an adverse ruling for Apple by year-end 2026?Prediction: 24%
Jan 15, 2027
Will the European Commission fine Apple more than $1B under the Digital Markets Act by end of 2026?Prediction: 33%