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CRM Forecast Markets
Salesforce, Inc.
7
Active Markets
5
Resolved
31%
Avg Probability
All Markets
12 markets
Will Salesforce report Q1 FY2027 organic revenue growth above 10% constant currency (excluding Informatica contribution)?
20%
Likely No
93% agreement
Jun 30, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will Salesforce disclose AgentForce ARR at or above $1.5B by Q1 FY2027 earnings (June 2026)?
12%
Likely No
96% agreement
Jun 30, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will Salesforce's AgentForce pricing model remain unchanged through Q2 FY2027 (July 2026)?
67%
Likely Yes
57%67%after Q4 FY2026 earnings — AgentForce ARR $800M (+48% QoQ), 120+ ILAs sold as #1 product, 22K+ paid customers, three coexisting monetization paths validated
87% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.60
Will Salesforce record a goodwill impairment charge by Q2 FY2027 (July 2026)?
4%
Likely No
98% agreement
Sep 30, 2026
IG: 0.60
Will Salesforce disclose evidence of per-seat subscription revenue declining while AgentForce grows by Q2 FY2027?
7%
Likely No
14%7%after Q4 FY2026 earnings update
97% agreement
Sep 15, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will ValueAct Capital exit the Salesforce board or reduce its position by more than 50% by August 2026?
33%
Likely No
25%33%after $25B leveraged buyback (ASR + $25B debt issuance)
94% agreement
Aug 31, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will Salesforce's customer attrition rate exceed 10% in any two consecutive quarters by Q2 FY2027?
4%
Likely No
6%4%after Q4 FY2026 earnings
99% agreement
Sep 30, 2026
IG: 0.40
Will Salesforce report Q4 FY2026 revenue growth of 10% or higher (constant currency)?
24%
Likely No
Actual: YES
Brier: 0.578Feb 25, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will Salesforce disclose AgentForce ARR at or above $1B by Q4 FY2026 earnings?
23%
Likely No
Actual: NO
Brier: 0.053Feb 25, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will Salesforce's current RPO (cRPO) growth exceed 11% YoY in Q4 FY2026?
54%
Likely Yes
Actual: YES
Brier: 0.212Feb 25, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will Salesforce guide FY2027 non-GAAP operating margin at 34% or higher?
77%
Likely Yes
Actual: YES
Brier: 0.053Feb 25, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will Salesforce issue new debt specifically to fund share repurchases by Q2 FY2027 (July 2026)?
43%
Likely No
Actual: YES
Brier: 0.325Mar 15, 2026
IG: 0.48
Resolution Timeline
Mar 15, 2026RESOLVED
Will Salesforce report Q4 FY2026 revenue growth of 10% or higher (constant currency)? YESBrier: 0.58
Mar 15, 2026RESOLVED
Will Salesforce disclose AgentForce ARR at or above $1B by Q4 FY2026 earnings? NOBrier: 0.05
Mar 15, 2026RESOLVED
Will Salesforce's current RPO (cRPO) growth exceed 11% YoY in Q4 FY2026? YESBrier: 0.21
Mar 15, 2026RESOLVED
Will Salesforce guide FY2027 non-GAAP operating margin at 34% or higher? YESBrier: 0.05
Jun 30, 2026
Will Salesforce disclose AgentForce ARR at or above $1.5B by Q1 FY2027 earnings (June 2026)?Prediction: 12%
Aug 15, 2026
Will Salesforce's AgentForce pricing model remain unchanged through Q2 FY2027 (July 2026)?Prediction: 67%
Aug 31, 2026
Will ValueAct Capital exit the Salesforce board or reduce its position by more than 50% by August 2026?Prediction: 33%
Aug 31, 2026RESOLVED
Will Salesforce issue new debt specifically to fund share repurchases by Q2 FY2027 (July 2026)? YESBrier: 0.32
Sep 30, 2026
Will Salesforce record a goodwill impairment charge by Q2 FY2027 (July 2026)?Prediction: 4%
Sep 30, 2026
Will Salesforce's customer attrition rate exceed 10% in any two consecutive quarters by Q2 FY2027?Prediction: 4%