Archived research. Equity forecasting is part of the Runchey Research archive (methodology era 1) and is no longer actively updated. Everything remains published at its original URL. Browse the archive
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RKT Forecast Markets
Rocket Companies
8
Active Markets
37%
Avg Probability
All Markets
8 markets
Will Rocket's blended recapture rate decline below 2.5x industry average by H1 2026?
38%
Likely No
94% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will the 30-year fixed mortgage rate exceed 7.0% at any point before October 2026?
28%
Likely No
93% agreement
Oct 1, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will Rocket's blended gain-on-sale margin fall below 250 bps in Q2 2026?
23%
Likely No
93% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will Rocket lower or miss its $640M combined synergy target by year-end 2026?
28%
Likely No
93% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will Rocket's GAAP-to-adjusted expense gap exceed $400M in any Q2 or Q3 2026 quarter?
42%
Likely No
94% agreement
Nov 15, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will multiple Rocket executives adopt new 10b5-1 plans or conduct open-market sales by Q3 2026?
32%
Likely No
94% agreement
Oct 15, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will Rocket's combined mortgage market share exceed 6% in H1 2026?
52%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.36
Will the Redfin mortgage attach rate reach 50% by Q3 2026?
50%
Likely No
94% agreement
Nov 15, 2026
IG: 0.36
Resolution Timeline
Aug 15, 2026
Will Rocket's blended recapture rate decline below 2.5x industry average by H1 2026?Prediction: 38%
Oct 1, 2026
Will the 30-year fixed mortgage rate exceed 7.0% at any point before October 2026?Prediction: 28%
Oct 15, 2026
Will multiple Rocket executives adopt new 10b5-1 plans or conduct open-market sales by Q3 2026?Prediction: 32%
Nov 15, 2026
Will Rocket's GAAP-to-adjusted expense gap exceed $400M in any Q2 or Q3 2026 quarter?Prediction: 42%
Feb 28, 2027
Will Rocket lower or miss its $640M combined synergy target by year-end 2026?Prediction: 28%